The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note, seen as a proxy for global borrowing costs, consolidated around 3.7%, a level not seen since October 4th, as the narrative started to change from inflation and tightening to recession and the likelihood of a policy pivot. Minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting showed officials see the case for a slower pace of interest rate rises. The November meeting minutes also showed that policymakers were growing concerned about the economy's health, with officials noting that a recession is now almost as likely as their baseline projection of weak growth. This outlook for monetary policy is decoupling from the one seen for Europe, in which the ECB reassured markets that its tightening cycle is far over despite the continent heading for a recession in the last quarter of 2022. Germany's 10-year Bund yield, the European benchmark, rebounded from a two-month low to around 1.9%.

Historically, the United States Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. United States Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on November of 2022.

The United States Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 3.83 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.27 in 12 months time.

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United States Government Bond 10Y

Bonds Yield Day Month Year
US 10Y 3.69 -0.010% -0.325% 2.209%
US 4W 4.04 0.180% 0.636% 3.901%
US 8W 4.18 0.063% 0.455% 4.146%
US 3M 4.29 -0.022% 0.260% 4.239%
US 6M 4.70 0.004% 0.224% 4.613%
US 52W 4.75 -0.007% 0.198% 4.573%
US 2Y 4.47 -0.016% 0.049% 3.959%
US 3Y 4.22 -0.021% -0.178% 3.405%
US 5Y 3.87 -0.028% -0.325% 2.701%
US 7Y 3.79 -0.032% -0.312% 2.390%
US 20Y 3.98 -0.001% -0.414% 2.094%
US 30Y 3.75 0.009% -0.413% 1.924%
US 10Y TIPS 1.38 0.006% -0.211% 2.455%
US 30Y TIPS 1.44 0.014% -0.319% 1.913%
US 5Y TIPS 1.53 0.003% -0.109% 3.310%

United States Government Bond 10Y
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
3.69 3.70 15.82 0.32 1912 - 2022 percent Daily