The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell to 1.51% on Friday, after April’s jobs report fell short of expectations. The US economy added 266K jobs in April of 2021, well below market expectations of 978K, and pushing the unemployment rate higher to 6.1 percent. The report enhanced views that the job market recovery remains uncertain despite Thursday data showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell to the lowest since mid-March 2020. Early this week, the US Treasury said it will keep its coupon issuance steady over the coming quarter, and that declines in outstanding Treasury bills should slow. source: U.S. Department of the Treasury
Historically, the United States Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. United States Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on May of 2021.
The United States Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 1.63 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.78 in 12 months time.