Japan’s benchmark 10-year bond yield fell to 0.24%, tracking a general fall in global borrowing costs as investors’ focus shifted to economic slowdown fears as they brace for fresh US inflation data and corporate earnings reports for further clues on Fed’s rate-hiking path. On the domestic front, the BOJ governor pledged to hold an ultra-loose monetary policy, diverging sharply from the hawkish policies of major global central banks despite domestic inflation running at a 7-½-year high of 2.5%. Further, he expressed his intention to defend the 0.25% implicit yield cap with unlimited buying of bonds, while reiterating that it is too early to cut back on stimulus. Meanwhile, May data showed that Japanese investors sold US sovereign debts for a record seventh month in a row, amid rising domestic yields and surging hedging costs of volatile yen, wiping out the premium they once enjoyed from US debt.
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Historically, the Japan Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 7.59 in June of 1984. Japan Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on July of 2022.
The Japan Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 0.27 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 0.36 in 12 months time.