Rice futures rose back above $17 per hundredweight after touching the eight-month low of $16.25 on March 8th, as shipments to China continued to recover following the country's reopening. Meanwhile, expectations of stronger global supply could weigh on prices in the coming months. In its latest March report, the USDA said the global outlook for 2022/23 was for larger supplies, consumption, trade, and ending stocks. Supplies were raised by 7.0 million tons to 693.3 million, mainly due to 2022/23 India production seen at a record 132 million. On the other hand, the global 2022/2023 consumption was also lifted by 2.8 million tons to a historical 520.0 million.
Historically, Rice reached an all time high of 24.46 in April of 2008. Rice - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on March of 2023.
Rice is expected to trade at 16.23 USD/CWT by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 17.01 in 12 months time.