Arabica coffee futures in the US were trading around $1.80 per pound, down from an over four-month high of 1.995 hit on February 22nd. Dealers said short covering by speculators had helped to fuel the recent run-up, but now it appears to have abated. Still, supply tightness by major producers Brazil and Colombia and declining exchange stocks should continue to pressure prices. Brazilian Trade Ministry data showed coffee exports fell 45% in February, and broker HedgePoint cut its projection for Brazil's 2023/24 arabica coffee production to 42.3 million bags from 45.4 million. Coffee exports from Colombia, the world's second-largest producer of arabica coffee beans, dropped 19% year-on-year to 835,000 in January. Also, the latest data indicated ICE-certified coffee stocks decreased further by 75,000 bags to 800,137 60kg bags on February 24th.
Historically, Coffee reached an all time high of 339.86 in April of 1977. Coffee - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on March of 2023.
Coffee is expected to trade at 176.49 USd/Lbs by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 160.29 in 12 months time.