Markets Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
Currency 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
Stock Market (points) 1596.55 1558 1500 1499 1470 1413

Overview Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
GDP Growth Rate (%) -0.10 1.5 1 1 1 1
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -2.11 2.9 3 2.5 2 3
Unemployment Rate (%) 4.90 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1
Inflation Rate (%) -0.30 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.9
Interest Rate (%) 1.00 1 1 1 1 1
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) 1638.10 500 500 500 500 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -1220.00 -550 -550 -550 -550 -350
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) -2.10 -6.5 -6.5 -6.5 -6.5 -4.5
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 128.30 130 130 130 130 135
Government Budget (% of GDP) -13.10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -9
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0

GDP Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
GDP Growth Rate (%) -0.10 1.5 1 1 1 1
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -2.11 2.9 3 2.5 2 3
GDP (USD Billion) 38.47 37 37 37 37 42
GDP Constant Prices (BHD Million) 3064.18 3119 3122 3141 3125 3216
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BHD Million) 3728.20 3892 3274 3840 3821 3955
GDP per capita (USD) 19018.55 21150 21150 21150 21150 21700
GDP per capita PPP (USD) 40933.35 45000 45000 45000 45000 45900
GDP From Agriculture (BHD Million) 9.22 9.09 9.26 9.45 9.4 9.54
GDP From Construction (BHD Million) 233.45 241 240 239 238 247
GDP From Manufacturing (BDT Million) 435.15 460 452 446 444 466
GDP From Mining (BHD Million) 548.73 634 552 562 560 569
GDP From Public Administration (BHD Million) 403.08 385 406 413 411 418
GDP From Services (BHD Million) 1741.05 1709 1942 1793 1785 1847
GDP From Transport (BHD Million) 185.84 162 177 190 190 182
GDP From Utilities (BHD Million) 45.48 50.44 50.89 46.84 46.62 48.25

Labour Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
Unemployment Rate (%) 4.90 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1
Population (Million) 1.70 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.89

Prices Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
Inflation Rate (%) -0.30 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.9
Consumer Price Index CPI (points) 96.70 99.19 99.17 97.75 98.05 101
GDP Deflator (points) 111.97 113 114 113 114 116
Inflation Rate Mom (%) 0.40 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
CPI Housing Utilities (points) 94.70 102 96.23 95.63 96.03 98.06
CPI Transportation (points) 103.50 103 106 104 105 108
Food Inflation (%) -1.60 1.9 2 2 2 2

Money Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
Interest Rate (%) 1.00 1 1 1 1 1
Interbank Rate (%) 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56
Money Supply M2 (BHD Million) 13383.00 13301 13457 13614 13771 14084
Loan Growth (%) 2.49 1.9 3 3 3 4
Loans To Private Sector (BHD Million) 5403.90 5457 5487 5419 5512 5651
Central Bank Balance Sheet (BHD Million) 4044.90 3828 3931 3931 3931 4341
Banks Balance Sheet (USD Million) 212810.10 223173 225590 225590 225590 235258
Foreign Exchange Reserves (BHD Million ) 1226.30 1250 1250 1250 1250 1250

Trade Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) 1638.10 500 500 500 500 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -1220.00 -550 -550 -550 -550 -350
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) -2.10 -6.5 -6.5 -6.5 -6.5 -4.5
Imports (BHD Million) 9478.00 8500 8500 8500 8500 9000
Exports (BHD Million) 11116.00 9000 9000 9000 9000 9500
Capital Flows (BHD Million ) 1468.20 -330 -330 -330 -330 250
Foreign Direct Investment (BHD Million) 110.90 350 350 350 350 500

Government Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 128.30 130 130 130 130 135
Government Budget (% of GDP) -13.10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -9
Government Spending (BHD Million) 2096.00 2188 1972 2159 2148 2224
Government Debt (BHD Million) 13315.40 12100 12500 12500 12500 12000
Military Expenditure (USD Million) 1405.00 1310 1310 1310 1310 1350
Government Budget Value (BHD Million) -600.71 -1700 -1700 -1700 -1700 -1500
Government Revenues (BHD Million) 2946.49 2350 2350 2350 2350 2500
Fiscal Expenditure (BHD Million) 3547.20 4100 4100 4100 4100 3800

Taxes Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Social Security Rate (%) 19.00 19 19 19 19 19
Social Security Rate For Companies (%) 12.00 12 12 12 12 12
Social Security Rate For Employees (%) 7.00 7 7 7 7 7

Business Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
Changes in Inventories (BHD Million) 111.00 500 500 500 500 500
Car Registrations (Hundreds) 290.00 450 450 450 450 500

Consumer Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022
Consumer Spending (BHD Million) 4856.70 5070 5163 5002 4978 5152
Consumer Credit (BHD Million) 4794.60 4730 4859 4922 4890 5005
Bank Lending Rate (%) 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.37 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.3 0.29


This page has economic forecasts for Bahrain including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bahrain economy.