Markets Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
Currency 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
Stock Market (points) 1724.08 1500 1500 1499 1470 1413

Overview Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
GDP Growth Rate (%) 3.51 1 1 1 1 1
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 5.72 3 2.5 2 3 3
Unemployment Rate (%) 4.90 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1
Inflation Rate (%) 0.10 1.4 1.3 1.4 2 1.9
Interest Rate (%) 1.00 1 1 1.25 1.25 1.5
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) 1638.10 500 500 500 500 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -1220.00 -550 -550 -550 -550 -350
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) -2.10 -6.5 -6.5 -6.5 -4 -4.5
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 128.30 130 130 130 135 135
Government Budget (% of GDP) -13.10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -9
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0

GDP Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
GDP Growth Rate (%) 3.51 1 1 1 1 1
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 5.72 3 2.5 2 3 3
GDP (USD Billion) 38.47 37 37 37 37 42
GDP Constant Prices (BHD Million) 3064.18 3159 3141 3125 3156 3254
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BHD Million) 3728.20 3274 3840 3821 3803 3955
GDP per capita (USD) 19018.55 21150 21150 21150 23000 21700
GDP per capita PPP (USD) 40933.35 45000 45000 45000 46500 45900
GDP From Agriculture (BHD Million) 9.22 9.54 9.26 9.45 9.4 9.54
GDP From Construction (BHD Million) 233.45 248 240 239 238 247
GDP From Manufacturing (BDT Million) 435.15 502 452 446 444 466
GDP From Mining (BHD Million) 548.73 669 552 562 560 569
GDP From Public Administration (BHD Million) 403.08 417 406 413 411 418
GDP From Services (BHD Million) 1741.05 1942 1793 1785 1776 1847
GDP From Transport (BHD Million) 185.84 247 177 190 190 182
GDP From Utilities (BHD Million) 45.48 50.89 46.84 46.62 46.39 48.25

Labour Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
Unemployment Rate (%) 4.90 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1
Population (Million) 1.70 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.89

Prices Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
Inflation Rate (%) 0.10 1.4 1.3 1.4 2 1.9
Consumer Price Index CPI (points) 97.10 145 99.17 97.75 98.36 101
GDP Deflator (points) 111.97 113 114 113 114 116
Inflation Rate Mom (%) 0.10 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
CPI Housing Utilities (points) 95.00 132 96.23 95.63 96.43 98.06
CPI Transportation (points) 102.70 103 103 104 104 104
Food Inflation (%) 0.10 2 2 2 2 2

Money Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
Interest Rate (%) 1.00 1 1 1.25 1.25 1.5
Interbank Rate (%) 1.50 1.5 1.5 1.75 1.75 2
Money Supply M2 (BHD Million) 13326.00 13457 13614 13771 13771 14084
Loan Growth (%) 4.36 3 3 3 3 4
Loans To Private Sector (BHD Million) 5444.20 5487 5419 5569 5608 5651
Central Bank Balance Sheet (BHD Million) 4126.90 3931 3931 3931 3931 4341
Banks Balance Sheet (USD Million) 208861.80 225590 225590 225590 225590 235258
Foreign Exchange Reserves (BHD Million ) 1410.80 1250 1250 1250 1250 1250

Trade Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) 1638.10 500 500 500 500 500
Current Account (BHD Million ) -1220.00 -550 -550 -550 -550 -350
Current Account to GDP (% of GDP) -2.10 -6.5 -6.5 -6.5 -4 -4.5
Imports (BHD Million) 9478.00 8500 8500 8500 8500 9000
Exports (BHD Million) 11116.00 9000 9000 9000 9000 9500
Capital Flows (BHD Million ) 1468.20 -330 -330 -330 -330 250
Foreign Direct Investment (BHD Million) 110.90 350 350 350 350 500

Government Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
Government Debt to GDP (% of GDP) 128.30 130 130 130 135 135
Government Budget (% of GDP) -13.10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -9
Government Spending (BHD Million) 2096.00 1972 2159 2148 2138 2224
Government Debt (BHD Million) 13464.80 12500 12500 12500 12500 12000
Military Expenditure (USD Million) 1405.00 1310 1310 1310 1310 1350
Government Budget Value (BHD Million) -600.71 -1700 -1700 -1700 -1700 -1500
Government Revenues (BHD Million) 2946.49 2350 2350 2350 2350 2500
Fiscal Expenditure (BHD Million) 3547.20 4100 4100 4100 4100 3800

Taxes Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Social Security Rate (%) 19.00 19 19 19 19 19
Social Security Rate For Companies (%) 12.00 12 12 12 12 12
Social Security Rate For Employees (%) 7.00 7 7 7 7 7
Sales Tax Rate (%) 5.00 5 10 10 10 10

Business Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
Changes in Inventories (BHD Million) 111.00 500 500 500 500 500
Car Registrations (Hundreds) 290.00 450 450 450 450 500

Consumer Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022
Consumer Spending (BHD Million) 4856.70 5163 5002 4978 4954 5152
Consumer Credit (BHD Million) 4888.40 4859 4922 4905 5035 5005
Bank Lending Rate (%) 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.28 5.28 5.53
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.37 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.3 0.29


This page has economic forecasts for Bahrain including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bahrain economy.