The personal consumption expenditure price index in the United States rose 0.2 percent month-over-month in November 2019, the same pace as in the previous month. Services prices advanced 0.2 percent, the same pace as in the previous month. Meanwhile, goods cost was flat, after rising 0.3 percent in the prior month, as prices slowed for non-durable goods (0.1 percent vs 0.5 percent) and fell for durable ones (-0.2 percent vs 0.1 percent). Year-on-year, the PCE price index went up 1.5 percent, after an upwardly revised 1.4 percent in the previous month. Pce Price Index in the United States averaged 58.69 points from 1959 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 110.37 points in November of 2019 and a record low of 16.07 points in January of 1959.

Pce Price Index in the United States is expected to be 110.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Pce Price Index in the United States to stand at 114.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index is projected to trend around 121.00 points in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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United States Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
110.37 110.20 110.37 16.07 1959 - 2019 points Monthly
2012=100; SA



Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-11-27 03:00 PM PCE Price Index MoM Oct 0.2% 0% 0.1% 0.2%
2019-11-27 03:00 PM PCE Price Index YoY Oct 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3%
2019-12-20 03:00 PM PCE Price Index YoY Nov 1.5% 1.4% 1.3%
2019-12-20 03:00 PM PCE Price Index MoM Nov 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%


News Stream
2019-10-31
US PCE Price Index Flat for 2nd Month
The personal consumption expenditure price index in the United States showed no growth for the second consecutive month in September 2019. Cost of goods declined 0.3 percent, unchanged from the previous month, as prices of nondurable goods fell (0.3 percent, the same as in August) and durable goods went down further (-0.4 percent from -0.2 percent). Also, cost of services advanced 0.1 percent, slowing from a 0.2 percent gain in August. Year-on-year, the PCE price index went up 1.3 percent, easing from a 1.4 percent rise in the prior month.

2019-09-27
US PCE Price Index Unchanged in August
The personal consumption expenditure price index in the United States showed no growth from the previous month in August of 2019, after a 0.2 percent gain in July. Cost of goods fell 0.3 percent after increasing by 0.2 percent in the previous month, as prices fell for both nondurable goods (-0.3 percent from 0.5 percent in July) and durable goods (-0.2 percent from -0.4 percent). Also, cost of services went up 0.2 percent, easing from a 0.3 percent rise in July. Year-on-year, the PCE price index rose 1.4 percent, the same as in the previous month.

2019-08-30
US PCE Prices Rise the Most in 3 Months
The personal consumption expenditure price index in the United States increased 0.2 percent month-over-month in July of 2019, following a 0.1 percent gain in each of the previous two months. It was the highest gain in PCE prices since April. Cost of goods rose 0.2 percent, rebounding from a 0.1 percent fall in June, boosted by a recovery in prices of non-durable goods (0.5 percent vs -0.4 percent) while durable goods cost fell (-0.4 percent vs 0.5 percent). Also, cost of services went up 0.2 percent, the same as in the previous month. Year-on-year, the PCE price index went up 1.4 percent, after a downwardly revised 1.3 percent advance in June.

2019-07-30
US PCE Prices Rise 0.1% MoM in June
The personal consumption expenditure price index in the US increased 0.1 percent in June 2019, the same pace as in May. Cost of goods fell 0.1 percent, after a 0.1 percent gain in May, as a decline in nondurable goods (-0.4 percent compared to 0.1 percent) offset a rise in durable (0.5 percent compared to 0.1 percent). Prices for services advanced 0.2 percent, unchanged from the previous month. Year-on-year, the PCE price index went up 1.4 percent, the same as in the prior month and the core index increased 1.6 percent, above a 1.5 percent rise in May but below market expectations of 1.7 percent.

2019-06-28
US PCE Prices Rise 0.2% MoM in May
The personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index in the United States rose 0.2 percent from a month earlier in May 2019, easing from a 0.3 percent gain in April. Prices for services advanced 0.2 percent, slower than a 0.4 percent in the previous month; and cost of goods increased 0.1 percent, after rising 0.2 percent in April, of which nondurable (0.1 percent compared to 0.5 percent) while durable (0.1 percent compared to -0.4 percent). Year-on-year, the PCE price index went up 1.5 percent, below an upwardly revised 1.6 percent in April and the core index advanced 1.6 percent, the same as in the prior month and matching market expectations.

2019-05-31
US PCE Prices Beat Forecasts
The personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index in the United States increased 0.3 percent from a month earlier in April of 2019, up from a 0.2 percent rise in March and above market expectations of a 0.1 percent gain. Prices for services climbed 0.4 percent, faster than a 0.2 percent in March; and cost of goods advanced 0.2 percent, unchanged from the previous month, of which nondurables (0.5 percent compared to 0.6 percent) while durables (-0.4 percent from -0.5 percent). Year-on-year, the PCE price index increased 1.5 percent, following a downwardly revised 1.4 percent advance and in line with market consensus and the core index advanced 1.6 percent, above 1.5 percent in the previous month and also matching forecasts.


United States Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index
In the United States, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid for domestic purchases of goods and services. While the Consumer Price Index assumes a fixed basket of goods and uses expenditure weights that do not change over time for several years, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index uses a chain index and resorts on expenditure data from the current period and the preceding period (known as Fisher Price Index).

United States Prices Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Inflation Rate 2.30 2.10 23.70 -15.80 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.20 0.30 1.80 -1.80 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 258.50 257.94 258.50 23.51 points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 265.92 265.62 265.92 28.50 points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 2.30 2.30 13.60 0.00 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 112.66 112.19 112.66 12.85 points [+]
Producer Prices 118.80 118.70 118.80 100.20 points [+]
Producer Prices Change 1.30 1.10 19.57 -6.86 percent [+]
Export Prices 125.20 125.40 135.30 82.40 points [+]
Import Prices 125.00 124.60 147.50 75.00 points [+]
Food Inflation 1.80 2.00 36.70 -34.30 percent [+]
CPI Housing Utilities 268.24 267.93 268.24 30.50 points [+]
CPI Transportation 208.48 209.76 223.54 22.30 points [+]
Core Pce Price Index 112.40 112.24 112.40 16.73 points [+]
Core Producer Prices 118.10 118.00 118.20 99.90 points [+]
Pce Price Index 110.37 110.20 110.37 16.07 points [+]
Inflation Expectations 2.53 2.35 3.40 2.33 percent [+]