The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for the US increased to 55 in December of 2019 from 53.9 in November, slightly beating market forecasts of 54.5. The reading pointed to the biggest expansion in the services sector in four months as production and inventories rose faster while new orders, new export orders and employment slowed. Companies are positive about the potential resolution on tariffs and capacity constraints have eased a bit although difficulties with labour resources remain, according to Anthony Nieves, Chair of the ISM. Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States averaged 54.63 points from 1997 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 62 points in August of 1997 and a record low of 37.80 points in November of 2008. source: Institute for Supply Management
Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States is expected to be 52.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States to stand at 52.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 50.00 points in 2020, according to our econometric models.
United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI
The Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business® is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (Business Activity, New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Inventory Change, Inventory Sentiment, Imports, Prices, Employment and Supplier Deliveries) this report shows the percentage reporting each response, and the diffusion index. An index reading above 50 percent indicates that the non-manufacturing economy in that index is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. Orders to the service producers make up about 90 percent of the US economy.