The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for the United States dropped to 55.1 in June 2019 from 56.9 in the previous month and below market expectations of 55.9. The latest reading pointed to the weakest pace of expansion in the non-manufacturing sector since July 2017, as business activity, new orders and employment all grew at slower paces. Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States is reported by Institute for Supply Management.

Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States is expected to be 56.00 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States to stand at 52.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 50.00 in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI
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US Non-Manufacturing Growth Slows to 2-Year Low

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for the United States dropped to 55.1 in June 2019 from 56.9 in the previous month and below market expectations of 55.9. The latest reading pointed to the weakest pace of expansion in the non-manufacturing sector since July 2017.

There was a slowdown in business activity (58.2 vs 61.2 in May), new orders (55.8 vs 58.6), and employment (55.0 vs 58.1). Meanwhile, prices paid inflation hit a five-month high (58.9 vs 55.4).

"According to the NMI, 16 non-manufacturing industries reported growth. Although the non-manufacturing sector’s growth rate dipped in June, the sector continues to reflect strength. The comments from the respondents reflect mixed sentiment about business conditions and the overall economy. A degree of uncertainty exists due to trade and tariffs.”

The 16 non-manufacturing industries reporting growth in June — listed in order — are: Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Other Services; Finance & Insurance; Accommodation & Food Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Mining; Construction; Educational Services; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Utilities; Public Administration; Information; Management of Companies & Support Services; Transportation & Warehousing; Retail Trade; and Wholesale Trade. The only industry reporting a decrease is Arts, Entertainment & Recreation.


ISM | Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
7/3/2019 2:09:28 PM



United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 51.70 52.10 77.50 29.40 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 50.60 50.50 57.90 50.50 [+]
Services PMI 51.50 50.90 61.00 49.30 Index Points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 55.10 56.90 62.00 37.80 [+]
Composite Pmi 51.50 50.90 61.00 50.00 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production 2.00 0.90 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.40 -0.40 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 0.70 -0.30 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 78.07 77.92 89.39 66.69 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders -1.30 -2.80 23.20 -18.40 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense -0.60 -3.30 25.50 -19.20 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.30 -0.10 6.30 -10.20 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.10 0.20 4.60 -7.00 percent [+]
New Orders 493569.00 499273.00 565232.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders -0.70 -1.20 10.40 -9.70 percent [+]
Business Inventories 0.50 0.00 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 122.84 96.80 166.37 -245.13 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories 0.40 0.80 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 22157.00 22232.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 2012.30 2076.20 2076.82 14.70 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 103.30 105.00 108.80 80.10 Index Points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 4.30 -8.60 39.00 -34.40 Index Points [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 0.30 16.60 58.50 -57.90 Index Points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 3.00 5.00 29.00 -44.00 Index Points [+]
Ism New York Index 50.00 48.60 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.05 -0.48 2.78 -5.27 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -12.10 -5.30 47.60 -59.90 Index Points [+]
Chicago Pmi 49.70 54.20 78.60 21.20 Index Points [+]
Car Production 2.56 2.42 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 432.55 464.96 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 17.30 17.30 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change -9.50 -1.09 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change 81.00 89.00 147.00 -359.00 Billion cf [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change -1455.00 -1583.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Leading Economic Index 127.88 127.79 127.88 46.91 Index Points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change -8.13 -5.00 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 784.00 788.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
Corruption Index 71.00 75.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 22.00 16.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Competitiveness Index 85.64 84.84 85.64 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 1.00 1.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 6.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Steel Production 7653.00 7428.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index -3.00 2.00 37.00 -32.00 Index Points [+]
Mining Production 10.00 10.70 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]


United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI

The Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business® is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (Business Activity, New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Inventory Change, Inventory Sentiment, Imports, Prices, Employment and Supplier Deliveries) this report shows the percentage reporting each response, and the diffusion index. An index reading above 50 percent indicates that the non-manufacturing economy in that index is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. Orders to the service producers make up about 90 percent of the US economy. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on July of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
55.10 56.90 62.00 37.80 1997 - 2019 Monthly
SA




Country Last Previous
China 54.20 Jun/19
Japan 23.00 Jun/19
United States 55.10 Jun/19


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