Nonfarm payrolls in the US increased by 20 thousand in February of 2019, following an upwardly revised 311 thousand rise in January and well below market expectations of 180 thousand. It is the lowest job gain since February of 2017 as construction employment contracted while jobs were added in professional and business services, health care, and wholesale trade. Non Farm Payrolls in the United States averaged 125.58 Thousand from 1939 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 1118 Thousand in September of 1983 and a record low of -1959 Thousand in September of 1945.

Non Farm Payrolls in the United States is expected to be 193.00 Thousand by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Non Farm Payrolls in the United States to stand at 150.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Non Farm Payrolls is projected to trend around 170.00 Thousand in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Non Farm Payrolls
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2018-12-07 01:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 155K 237K 200K 189K
2019-01-04 01:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 312K 176K 177K 165K
2019-02-01 01:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 304K 222K 165K 170K
2019-03-08 01:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 20K 311K 180K 190K
2019-04-05 12:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 20K 193K
2019-05-03 12:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 178K
2019-06-07 12:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 190K



US Job Growth Almost Stalls in February

Nonfarm payrolls in the US increased by 20 thousand in February of 2019, following an upwardly revised 311 thousand rise in January and well below market expectations of 180 thousand. It is the lowest reading since February of 2017, mainly due to falls in construction employment while jobs were added in professional and business services, health care, and wholesale trade.

In February, employment in professional and business services continued to trend up (+42,000), in line with its average monthly gain over the prior 12 months. 

Health care added 21,000 jobs in February and 361,000 jobs over the year. Employment in ambulatory health care services edged up over the month (+16,000). 

In February, wholesale trade employment continued its upward trend (+11,000). The industry has added 95,000 jobs over the year, largely among durable goods wholesalers. 

Employment in construction declined by 31,000 in February, partially offsetting an increase of 53,000 in January. In February, employment declined in heavy and civil engineering construction (-13,000). Over the year, construction has added 223,000 jobs.

Manufacturing employment changed little in February (+4,000), after increasing by an average of 22,000 per month over the prior 12 months.

In February, employment in leisure and hospitality was unchanged, after posting job gains of 89,000 and 65,000 in January and December, respectively. Over the year, leisure and hospitality has added 410,000 jobs.

Employment in other major industries, including mining, retail trade, transportation and warehousing, information, financial activities, and government, showed little or no change over the month.

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls decreased by 0.1 hour to 34.4 hours in February. In manufacturing, the average workweek declined 0.1 hour to 40.7 hours, while overtime was unchanged at 3.5 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls fell by 0.2 hour to 33.6 hours. 

In February, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 11 cents to $27.66, following a 2-cent gain in January. Over the year, average hourly earnings have increased by 3.4 percent. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees increased by 8 cents to $23.18 in February. 

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for December was revised up from +222,000 to +227,000, and the change for January was revised up from +304,000 to +311,000. With these revisions, employment gains in December and January combined were 12,000 more than previously reported. After revisions, job gains have averaged 186,000 per month over the last 3 months. 


BLS | Joana Taborda | joana.taborda@tradingeconomics.com
3/8/2019 1:42:16 PM



United States Labour Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Unemployment Rate 3.80 4.00 10.80 2.50 percent [+]
Non Farm Payrolls 20.00 311.00 1118.00 -1959.00 Thousand [+]
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 25.00 308.00 1092.00 -811.00 Thousand [+]
Government Payrolls -5.00 3.00 427.00 -260.00 Thousand [+]
Manufacturing Payrolls 4.00 21.00 572.00 -519.00 Thousand [+]
Initial Jobless Claims 221.00 230.00 695.00 162.00 Thousand [+]
Continuing Jobless Claims 1750.00 1777.00 6635.00 988.00 Thousand [+]
ADP Employment Change 183.00 300.00 360.00 -706.00 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 156949.00 156694.00 156949.00 57635.00 Thousand [+]
Unemployed Persons 6235.00 6535.00 15352.00 1596.00 Thousand [+]
Average Hourly Earnings 0.40 0.10 0.60 -0.20 percent [+]
Average Weekly Hours 34.40 34.50 34.60 33.70 Hours [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 63.20 63.20 67.30 58.10 percent [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 0.78 0.77 4.40 0.08 percent [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 8.90 9.10 19.50 7.80 percent [+]
Labour Costs 109.78 109.25 109.78 17.00 Index Points [+]
Productivity 106.10 105.61 106.10 26.03 Index Points [+]
Job Vacancies 7484.00 6890.00 7484.00 2132.00 Thousand [+]
Job Offers 7581.00 7479.00 7626.00 2264.00 Thousand [+]
Challenger Job Cuts 76835.00 52988.00 248475.00 15100.00 Persons [+]
Wages 23.18 23.10 23.18 2.50 USD/Hour [+]
Wage Growth 4.16 4.52 13.78 -5.88 percent [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 21.89 21.86 21.91 1.27 USD/Hour [+]
Minimum Wages 7.25 7.25 7.25 0.25 USD/Hour [+]
Employment Cost Index 0.70 0.80 1.60 0.20 percent [+]
Population 325.72 323.41 325.72 76.09 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 66.00 66.00 66.00 66.00 [+]
Retirement Age Men 66.00 66.00 66.00 66.00 [+]
Employment Rate 60.70 60.70 64.70 55.00 percent [+]
Full Time Employment 130159.00 129837.00 130159.00 64640.00 Thousand [+]
Part Time Employment 26878.00 26752.00 28134.00 10086.00 Thousand [+]
Living Wage Family 2380.00 2270.00 2380.00 2160.00 USD/Month [+]
Living Wage Individual 1660.00 1560.00 1660.00 1450.00 USD/Month [+]
Wages High Skilled 4520.00 4330.00 4950.00 4330.00 USD/Month [+]
Wages Low Skilled 1960.00 1760.00 2340.00 1760.00 USD/Month [+]


United States Non Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is an employment report released monthly, usually on the first Friday of every month, and heavily affects the US dollar, the bond market and the stock market. Current Employment Statistics (CES) program from the U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics, surveys about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 individual work sites, in order to provide detailed industry data on employment, hours, and earnings of workers on nonfarm payrolls. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Non Farm Payrolls - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Non Farm Payrolls - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on March of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
20.00 311.00 1118.00 -1959.00 1939 - 2019 Thousand Monthly




Country Last Previous
Brazil 34.31 Jan/19
Canada 16748.90 Oct/18
France 25245.20 Dec/18
Switzerland 5068.00 Dec/18
United States 20.00 Feb/19


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