The Kansas City Fed's Manufacturing Production Index fell to -7 in December 2019 from -5 in the previous month, well below market forecasts of +2. The composite index, an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes, dropped to -8 from -3 in November, driven by weak activity at durable goods plants, especially from declines in: wood products, nonmetallic mineral products, primary metal, fabricated metal products, machinery, and computer and electronic products manufacturing. The shipments index turned negative and the production, new orders, order backlog, and employment indexes declined further. Aside from the index for raw materials prices, only the supplier delivery time index remained slightly positive. Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States averaged 7.96 points from 2001 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 37 points in March of 2017 and a record low of -32 points in November of 2008.

Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States is expected to be -4.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations.

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United States Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
-7.00 -5.00 37.00 -32.00 2001 - 2019 points Monthly
SA



Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-09-26 03:00 PM Sep 11 -2 -3.9 -4
2019-10-24 03:00 PM Oct 8 11 4 5
2019-11-22 04:00 PM Nov -5 8 9 10
2019-12-20 04:00 PM Dec -7 -5 2 -4
2020-01-23 04:00 PM Jan -7 -6 -10


News Stream
2019-11-22
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index Turns Negative
The Kansas City Fed's Manufacturing Production Index fell to -5 in November 2019 from +8 in the previous month and compared with market forecasts of +9. The composite index, an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes, was unchanged at -3, driven by slower activity at durable goods plants, especially from decreases in primary metal, fabricated metal products, machinery, and computer and electronic products manufacturing. The new orders and employment indexes remained negative and the materials inventory index declined further. However, the shipments and supplier delivery time indexes expanded somewhat.

2019-10-24
Kansas Manufacturing Activity Falls in October
The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Manufacturing Production Index fell to 8 in October 2019 from 11 in the previous month and compared with market forecasts of 4. The composite index, an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes, was driven by slower activity at durable goods plants, especially from decreases in nonmetallic mineral products, primary metal, fabricated metal products, machinery, computer and electronic products, and transportation equipment manufacturing. Most month-over-month indexes dropped, in particular the new orders index. Meanwhile, the production index remained positive, and the supplier delivery time index inched higher. The month-over-month price index for raw materials went down at a slower rate, while the price index for finished products expanded slightly. Firms expected prices to increase over the next 6 months.

2019-09-26
Tenth District Manufacturing Production Rebounds
The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Manufacturing Production Index increased to +11 in September 2019 from -2 in the previous month and above market expectations of -3.9. Still, the Composite Index, an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes, continued to point to a contraction in the sector, driven by declines at durable goods plants, especially nonmetallic mineral products, primary metal, computer and electronic products, and transportation equipment manufacturing. The employment index dropped further in September, while the shipments index rebounded considerably. The month-over-month price index for raw materials continued to fall, while the price index for finished products inched higher. Firms continued to expect prices to rise over the next 6 months, but at a slower pace.

2019-08-22
Tenth District Manufacturing Activity Falls in August
The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Manufacturing Production Index increased to -2 in August 2019 from a seven-month low of -6 in the previous month and above market expectations of -10. Still, the latest reading pointed to a decline in activity, driven by declines at both durable and nondurable plants, but especially from decreases in primary metal, electrical equipment, appliances, paper, printing, and chemical manufacturing. Most indexes decreased in August, and the shipments and supplier delivery time indexes also turned negative. On the other hand, the future composite index edged higher to 11 from 9, as expectations for shipments, order backlog, employment, and new orders for exports grew slightly despite concerns about trade tensions.

2019-07-25
US Tenth District Factory Activity Falls in July
The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Manufacturing Production Index decreased to -6 in July 2019, the lowest level since last December, driven by a decline in activity at durable production plants, including computers, electronic products, appliances, and miscellaneous manufacturing The new orders, employment, and finished goods inventory indexes turned negative, while the volume of shipments was flat after last month’s slowdown, and supplier delivery time increased.


United States Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index
The Kansas City Fed's monthly Survey of Tenth District Manufacturers provides information on current manufacturing activity in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, encompassing the western third of Missouri; all of Kansas, Colorado, Nebraska, Oklahoma and Wyoming; and the northern half of New Mexico. The survey monitors about 300 manufacturing plants selected according to geographic distribution, industry mix, and size. Survey results reveal changes in several indicators of manufacturing activity, including production and shipments, and identify changes in prices of raw materials and finished products.

United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 47.20 48.10 77.50 29.40 points [+]
Services PMI 52.80 51.60 61.00 49.30 points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 55.00 53.90 62.00 37.80 points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 52.40 52.60 57.90 50.30 points [+]
Composite Pmi 52.70 52.00 61.00 50.00 points [+]
Industrial Production -1.00 -0.70 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom -0.30 0.80 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production -1.30 -0.90 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 77.02 77.37 89.39 66.69 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders -2.00 0.20 23.20 -18.40 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 0.80 0.00 25.50 -19.20 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.00 0.30 6.30 -10.20 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.30 0.30 4.60 -7.00 percent [+]
New Orders 493029.00 496962.00 549482.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders -0.70 0.20 10.40 -9.70 percent [+]
Business Inventories -0.20 0.10 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 69.44 69.40 173.21 -245.13 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories -0.10 0.10 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 22910.00 22483.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 1868.66 1857.53 1873.90 14.67 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 102.70 104.70 108.80 80.10 points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 4.80 3.30 39.00 -34.30 points [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 17.00 2.40 58.50 -57.90 points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -5.00 -1.00 27.00 -44.00 points [+]
Ism New York Index 39.10 50.40 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -3.20 -1.30 47.60 -59.90 points [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.56 -0.76 2.79 -5.29 [+]
Chicago Pmi 48.90 46.30 78.60 21.20 points [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 17.10 16.60 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Car Production 2.53 2.57 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 373.49 385.66 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change -2.55 1.16 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change 6678.00 9137.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change -109.00 -44.00 147.00 -359.00 Billion cf [+]
Leading Economic Index 129.78 129.35 129.78 45.48 points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 673.00 659.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change 1.10 -5.95 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 83.67 85.64 85.64 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 2.00 1.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Corruption Index 71.00 75.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 22.00 16.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Crude Oil Imports -595.00 1776.00 2201.00 -2518.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Distillate Fuel Production -105.00 -1.00 570.00 -699.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Distillate Stocks 8171.00 5330.00 11205.00 -13011.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Cushing Crude Oil Stocks 342.00 -821.00 4737.00 -4184.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Ease of Doing Business 6.00 8.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Gasoline Production 394.00 -1286.00 1082.00 -1494.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Steel Production 7233.00 7407.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Refinery Crude Runs 76.00 -386.00 1572.00 -3253.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Mining Production 1.40 2.30 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index -7.00 -5.00 37.00 -32.00 points [+]
Heating Oil Stocks -168.00 -84.00 94208.00 -92090.00 Thousand Barrels [+]