United States Initial Jobless Claims

The number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits decreased by 13 thousand to 209 thousand in the week ended July 6th 2019 from the previous week’s revised level of 222 thousand and compared with market expectations of 223 thousand. This is the lowest level for initial claims since April 13th. It is the second straight weekly decline and the steepest since the week ended May 11th. According to unadjusted data, the biggest declines were recorded in California (-6,734); New Jersey (-6,023); Texas (-1,979) and Connecticut (-1,560) while the largest declines were seen in New York (+11,007); Michigan (+6,616); Kansas (+2,724) and Kentucky (+2,456). Initial Jobless Claims in the United States averaged 352.08 Thousand from 1967 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 695 Thousand in October of 1982 and a record low of 162 Thousand in November of 1968.

Initial Jobless Claims in the United States is expected to be 201.40 Thousand by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Initial Jobless Claims in the United States to stand at 220.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Initial Jobless Claims is projected to trend around 267.12 Thousand in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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Calendar	GMT		Actual	Previous	Consensus	TEForecast
2019-06-20	12:30 PM	Initial Jobless Claims	216K	222K	220K	225K
2019-06-27	12:30 PM	Initial Jobless Claims	227K	217K	220K	222K
2019-07-03	12:30 PM	Initial Jobless Claims	221K	229K	223K
2019-07-11	12:30 PM	Initial Jobless Claims	209K	222K	223K	225K
2019-07-18	12:30 PM	Initial Jobless Claims		209K	216K	211K
2019-07-25	12:30 PM	Initial Jobless Claims				207K
2019-08-01	12:30 PM	Initial Jobless Claims				207K

US Jobless Claims Lowest in Near 3 Months

The number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits decreased by 13 thousand to 209 thousand in the week ended July 6th 2019 from the previous week’s revised level of 222 thousand and compared with market expectations of 223 thousand. This is the lowest level for initial claims since April 13th. It is the second straight weekly decline and the steepest since the week ended May 11th.

The 4-week moving average was 219,250, a decrease of 3,250 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 222,250 to 222,500.

According to unadjusted data, the biggest declines were recorded in California (-6,734); New Jersey (-6,023); Texas (-1,979) and Connecticut (-1,560) while the largest declines were seen in New York (+11,007); Michigan (+6,616); Kansas (+2,724) and Kentucky (+2,456).

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.2 percent for the week ending June 29, unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending June 29 was 1,723,000, an increase of 27,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up 10,000 from 1,686,000 to 1,696,000. The 4-week moving average was 1,694,750, an increase of 5,750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 2,500 from 1,686,500 to 1,689,000.

DOL | Agna Gabriel | agna.gabriel@tradingeconomics.com
7/11/2019 12:50:35 PM

News

US Jobless Claims Fall More than Expected
The number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits decreased to 221 thousand in the week ending June 29, from the previous week's upwardly revised level of 229 thousand and compared with market expectations of 223 thousand.
Published on 2019-07-03

US Jobless Claims Rise to 7-Week High
The number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits increased to 227 thousand in the week ended June 21 2019, from the previous week’s revised level of 217 thousand and compared with market expectations of 220 thousand. Jobless claims hit the highest level since the week ended May 4 2019.
Published on 2019-06-27

US Jobless Claims Fall More than Expected
The number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits decreased to 216 thousand in the week ended June 15 2019, from the previous week's unrevised level of 222 thousand and compared with market expectations of 220 thousand.
Published on 2019-06-20

US Jobless Claims Unexpectedly at 5-Week High
The number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits rose to 222 thousand in the week ended June 8th 2019, from the previous week's upwardly revised revised level of 219 thousand while markets had expected it to fall to 116 thousand. Jobless claims hit the highest level since the week ended May 4th 2019.
Published on 2019-06-13

United States Labour	Last	Previous	Highest	Lowest	Unit
Unemployment Rate	3.70	3.60	10.80	2.50	percent	[+]
Non Farm Payrolls	224.00	72.00	1118.00	-1959.00	Thousand	[+]
Nonfarm Payrolls Private	191.00	83.00	1092.00	-1766.00	Thousand	[+]
Government Payrolls	33.00	-11.00	427.00	-260.00	Thousand	[+]
Manufacturing Payrolls	17.00	3.00	655.00	-1715.00	Thousand	[+]
Initial Jobless Claims	209.00	222.00	695.00	162.00	Thousand	[+]
Continuing Jobless Claims	1723.00	1696.00	6635.00	988.00	Thousand	[+]
ADP Employment Change	102.00	41.00	360.00	-706.00	Thousand	[+]
Employed Persons	157005.00	156758.00	157005.00	57635.00	Thousand	[+]
Unemployed Persons	5975.00	5888.00	15352.00	1596.00	Thousand	[+]
Average Hourly Earnings	0.20	0.30	0.60	-0.20	percent	[+]
Average Weekly Hours	34.40	34.40	34.60	33.70	Hours	[+]
Labor Force Participation Rate	62.90	62.80	67.30	58.10	percent	[+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate	0.87	0.80	4.40	0.08	percent	[+]
Youth Unemployment Rate	8.10	8.50	19.50	7.80	percent	[+]
Labour Costs	108.71	109.16	109.61	17.00	Index Points	[+]
Productivity	106.96	106.06	106.96	26.02	Index Points	[+]
Job Vacancies	7230.00	7739.00	7884.00	2157.00	Thousand	[+]
Job Offers	7323.00	7372.00	7626.00	2264.00	Thousand	[+]
Challenger Job Cuts	41977.00	58577.00	248475.00	15100.00	Persons	[+]
Wages	23.43	23.39	23.43	2.50	USD/Hour	[+]
Wages in Manufacturing	22.03	22.04	22.04	1.27	USD/Hour	[+]
Wage Growth	3.59	3.56	13.78	-5.88	percent	[+]
Minimum Wages	7.25	7.25	7.25	0.25	USD/Hour	[+]
Employment Cost Index	0.70	0.70	1.60	0.20	percent	[+]
Population	327.17	325.15	327.17	76.09	Million	[+]
Retirement Age Women	66.00	66.00	66.00	66.00		[+]
Retirement Age Men	66.00	66.00	66.00	66.00		[+]
Employment Rate	60.60	60.60	64.70	55.00	percent	[+]
Full Time Employment	130148.00	129695.00	130159.00	64640.00	Thousand	[+]
Part Time Employment	26807.00	26981.00	28134.00	10086.00	Thousand	[+]
Living Wage Family	2380.00	2270.00	2380.00	2160.00	USD/Month	[+]
Living Wage Individual	1660.00	1560.00	1660.00	1450.00	USD/Month	[+]
Wages Low Skilled	1960.00	1760.00	2340.00	1760.00	USD/Month	[+]
Wages High Skilled	4520.00	4330.00	4950.00	4330.00	USD/Month	[+]

Initial jobless claims have a big impact in financial markets because unlike continued claims data which measures the number of persons claiming unemployment benefits, Initial jobless claims measures new and emerging unemployment. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Initial Jobless Claims - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Initial Jobless Claims - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on July of 2019.