The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US rose to 57.4 in January 2020 from 57 in the previous month and above market expectations of 57.3. It is the highest reading in eight months, as low interest rates and a trade deal with China lifted the Dow Jones and broader stock market to new record highs. The Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary IBD/TIPP measure of views on how government economic policies are working, increased to a 16-year high (+2.5 percent to 56.4). Also, the Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months (+2.4 percent to 64.6) went up. Meanwhile, the Six-Month Economic Outlook, the gauge of how consumers feel about the economy’s prospects in the next six months (-3.6 percent to 51.1) declined. Economic Optimism Index in the United States averaged 49.89 from 2001 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 62.90 in March of 2002 and a record low of 35.80 in August of 2011. source: Technometrica Market Intelligence/The Investor's Business Daily

Economic Optimism Index in the United States is expected to be 50.00 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Economic Optimism Index in the United States to stand at 49.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is projected to trend around 50.00 in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
57.40 57.00 62.90 35.80 2001 - 2020 Monthly



Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-10-08 02:00 PM Oct 52.6 50.8 51.2 51.5
2019-11-05 03:00 PM Nov 52.9 52.6 53
2019-12-17 03:00 PM Dec 57.0 52.9 54.2 51
2020-01-14 03:00 PM Jan 57.4 57 57.3 52
2020-02-04 03:00 PM Feb 57.4 51.1


News Stream
2019-12-17
US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Highest in 7 Months
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US rose to 57 in December of 2019 from 52.9 in the previous month and well above market expectations of 54.2. It is the highest reading in seven months amid an improvement in the Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months (+2.3 percent to 63.1); and in the Six-Month Economic Outlook, the gauge of how consumers feel about the economy’s prospects in the next six months (+12.8 percent to 53). Meanwhile, the Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary IBD/TIPP measure of views on how government economic policies are working, also went up (+9.8 percent to 55).

2019-11-05
US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Improves
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US rose to 52.9 in November 2019 from 52.6 in the previous month. The Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months, increased 1.8 percent to 61.7; and the Six-Month Economic Outlook, the gauge of how consumers feel about the economy’s prospects in the next six months, went up 8 percent to 47, still remaining in the negative territory. Meanwhile, the Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary IBD/TIPP measure of views on how government economic policies are working, dropped 6.5 percent to 50.1.

2019-10-08
US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Above Estimates
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US rose to 52.6 in October 2019 from 50.8 in the previous month and beating market expectations of 51.2. The Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months, went up 2.4 percent to 60.6; and the Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary IBD/TIPP measure of views on how government economic policies are working, climbed 6.6 percent to 53.6. Also, the Six-Month Economic Outlook, the gauge of how consumers feel about the economy’s prospects in the next six months, increased 1.2 percent to 43.5.

2019-09-04
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index Falls 7.8%
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US fell to 50.8 in September 2019, the lowest since February, from 55.1 in the previous month. The Six-Month Outlook, which measures how consumers feel about the economy's prospects over the next half year, tumbled 14 percent to 43.0; and the gauge of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months dropped 5.4 percent to 59.2. Also, a measure of Americans' confidence in government, the Federal Policies component plunged 4.4 percent to 50.2 in September.

2019-08-06
US Economic Optimism Index Drops in August
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the United States edged down to 55.1 in August 2019 from 56.6 in the prior month. The Six-Month Economic Outlook, a measure of how consumers feel about the economy’s prospects in the next six months fell by 1.6 points to 50, and the Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary IBD/TIPP measure of views on how government economic policies are working went down by 2.4 points to 52.6. Also, the Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months dropped by 0.5 points to 62.6.

2019-07-02
US Economic Optimism Improves in July
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the United States rose to 56.6 in July 2019 from 53.2 in June. The Six-Month Economic Outlook, a measure of how consumers feel about the economy’s prospects in the next six months moved back into positive territory, increasing by 3.9 points to 51.6, and the Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary IBD/TIPP measure of views on how government economic policies are working, rose by 4.3 points to 55.0. Also, the Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months gained 2 points to 63.1.


United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 900 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.

United States Consumer Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Consumer Confidence 99.10 99.30 111.40 51.70 points [+]
Retail Sales MoM 0.30 0.30 6.70 -3.90 percent [+]
Retail Sales YoY 5.80 3.30 11.20 -11.50 percent [+]
Retail Sales Ex Autos 0.70 0.00 2.60 -4.00 percent [+]
Consumer Spending 13353.12 13250.04 13353.12 1403.69 USD Billion [+]
Disposable Personal Income 16702.70 16615.00 16702.70 351.54 USD Billion [+]
Personal Spending 0.40 0.30 2.80 -2.10 percent [+]
Personal Income 0.50 0.10 4.60 -4.70 percent [+]
Personal Savings 7.90 7.80 17.30 2.20 percent [+]
Consumer Credit 12.51 18.98 116.79 -111.95 USD Billion [+]
Private Sector Credit 9996.19 9970.48 9996.19 39.04 USD Billion [+]
Bank Lending Rate 4.75 4.75 20.50 2.00 percent [+]
Economic Optimism Index 57.40 57.00 62.90 35.80 [+]
Redbook Index 5.00 7.20 9.30 -5.80 percent [+]
Chain Store Sales 4386.00 3101.00 15875.00 2632.00 USD Million [+]
Gasoline Prices 0.67 0.69 1.07 0.24 USD/Liter [+]
Households Debt To GDP 75.00 74.90 98.60 23.80 percent of GDP [+]
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 113.20 112.50 121.10 57.50 [+]
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 80.20 83.90 108.60 44.20 [+]
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 2.70 2.60 10.40 0.40 [+]