New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 0.4 percent from a month earlier in January of 2019, following an upwardly revised 1.3 percent advance in December and beating market expectations of a 0.5 percent drop. Transportation equipment, up five of the last six months, jumped 1.2 percent and drove the increase. Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, went up 0.8 percent, the highest gain since July and rebounding from a 0.9 percent fall in December. Durable Goods Orders in the United States averaged 0.33 percent from 1992 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 23.50 percent in July of 2014 and a record low of -19 percent in August of 2014.

Durable Goods Orders in the United States is expected to be -1.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Durable Goods Orders in the United States to stand at 2.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Durable Goods Orders is projected to trend around 2.40 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Durable Goods Orders
width
height
Forecast Data Chart
Trading Economics members can view, download and compare data from nearly 200 countries, including more than 20 million economic indicators, exchange rates, government bond yields, stock indexes and commodity prices.

The Trading Economics Application Programming Interface (API) provides direct access to our data. It allows API clients to download millions of rows of historical data, to query our real-time economic calendar, subscribe to updates and receive quotes for currencies, commodities, stocks and bonds.


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2018-11-21 01:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM -4.4% -0.1% -2.5% -1.2%
2018-12-21 01:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM 0.8% -4.3% 1.6% 0.8%
2019-02-21 01:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM 1.2% 1% 1.5% 2.5%
2019-03-13 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM 0.4% 1.3% -0.5% -0.9%
2019-04-02 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM 0.4% 0.7%
2019-04-25 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM -1.5%
2019-05-24 12:30 PM Durable Goods Orders MoM



US Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Rise

New orders for US manufactured durable goods increased 0.4 percent from a month earlier in January of 2019, following an upwardly revised 1.3 percent advance in December and beating market expectations of a 0.5 percent drop. Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, went up 0.8 percent, the highest gain since July and rebounding from a 0.9 percent fall in December.

Transportation equipment, up five of the last six months, drove the increase, $1.0 billion or 1.2 percent to $90.9 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.1 percent, after an upwardly revised 0.3 percent rise in December and compared to forecasts of a 0.1 percent gain. Excluding defense, new orders increased 0.7 percent, following an upwardly revised 2.2 percent rise in the previous month.

Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in January, up following three consecutive monthly decreases, increased $1.4 billion or 0.1 percent to $1,181.9 billion.  This followed a 0.1 percent December decrease. Transportation equipment, also up following three consecutive monthly decreases, led the increase, $0.9 billion or 0.1 percent to $811.6 billion.

Inventories of manufactured durable goods in January, up twenty-four of the last twenty-five months, increased $1.7 billion or 0.4 percent to $417.0 billion. This followed a 0.3 percent December increase. Transportation equipment, up four of the last five months, led the increase, $1.2 billion or 0.9 percent to $132.6 billion.   

Nondefense new orders for capital goods in January increased $2.0 billion or 2.5 percent to $80.3 billion. Shipments decreased $1.3 billion or 1.6 percent to $78.4 billion. Unfilled orders increased $1.9 billion or 0.3 percent to $711.0 billion. Inventories increased $0.9 billion or 0.5 percent to $182.8 billion. Defense new orders for capital goods in January decreased $0.3 billion or 2.3 percent to $12.5 billion. Shipments increased $0.4 billion or 3.4 percent to $13.0 billion.  Unfilled orders decreased $0.5 billion or 0.3 percent to $156.0 billion. Inventories increased $0.4 billion or 1.6 percent to $23.0 billion.


US Census Bureau | Joana Taborda | joana.taborda@tradingeconomics.com
3/13/2019 12:44:49 PM



United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 54.20 56.60 77.50 29.40 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 53.00 54.90 57.90 50.70 [+]
Services PMI 56.00 54.20 61.00 49.30 Index Points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 59.70 56.70 62.00 37.80 [+]
Composite Pmi 55.50 54.40 61.00 50.00 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production 3.50 3.90 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.10 -0.40 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 1.00 2.80 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 78.23 78.26 89.39 66.71 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders 0.40 1.30 23.50 -19.00 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 0.70 2.20 26.00 -19.70 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation -0.10 0.30 7.50 -6.80 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation -0.20 -0.50 4.60 -7.20 percent [+]
New Orders 499876.00 499194.00 565232.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders 0.10 0.10 10.60 -10.00 percent [+]
Business Inventories 0.60 0.00 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 97.07 89.77 166.37 -245.13 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories 1.10 0.40 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 22232.00 22103.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 2076.82 2007.53 2076.82 14.70 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 101.70 101.20 108.80 80.10 Index Points [+]
Ism New York Index 61.10 63.40 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index -4.10 17.00 58.50 -57.90 Index Points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 3.70 8.80 39.00 -34.40 Index Points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 16.00 -2.00 29.00 -44.00 Index Points [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.43 0.05 2.77 -5.25 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 13.10 1.00 47.10 -60.10 Index Points [+]
Chicago Pmi 64.70 56.70 78.60 21.20 Index Points [+]
Car Production 2.64 2.61 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 445.50 401.53 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 16.57 16.70 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change -3.86 7.07 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change -204.00 -149.00 147.00 -359.00 Billion cf [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change -4624.00 -4227.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Leading Economic Index 125.13 124.80 125.13 46.91 Index Points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change -2.13 -2.58 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 833.00 834.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
Corruption Index 71.00 75.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 22.00 16.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Competitiveness Index 85.64 84.84 85.64 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 1.00 1.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 6.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Steel Production 7647.00 7568.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Mining Production 12.50 15.40 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]


United States Durable Goods Orders

Durable Goods Orders refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods which meant to last at least three years. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Durable Goods Orders - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Durable Goods Orders - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on March of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
0.40 1.30 23.50 -19.00 1992 - 2019 percent Monthly
Current Prices, SA




Country Last Previous
United States 0.40 Jan/19


Related

Latest