The core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index in the United States, which excludes prices of food and energy, increased 0.1 percent in November 2019, the same pace as in the previous month and in line with market expectations. Core PCE inflation is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation and the central bank targets it at 2 percent. Year-on-year, the core index went up 1.6 percent, easing from an upwardly revised 1.7 percent increase in the previous month and matching market estimates. Core Pce Price Index in the United States averaged 60 points from 1959 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 112.40 points in November of 2019 and a record low of 16.73 points in January of 1959. source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Core Pce Price Index in the United States is expected to be 118.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Core Pce Price Index in the United States to stand at 119.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index is projected to trend around 120.00 points in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
112.40 112.24 112.40 16.73 1959 - 2019 points Monthly
2012=100; SA


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-11-27 03:00 PM Core PCE Price Index MoM Oct 0.1% 0% 0.1% 0.1%
2019-11-27 03:00 PM Core PCE Price Index YoY Oct 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6%
2019-12-20 03:00 PM Core PCE Price Index YoY Nov 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6%
2019-12-20 03:00 PM Core PCE Price Index MoM Nov 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%


United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index
In the United States, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid by people for domestic purchases of goods and services, excluding the prices of food and energy. The core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation measure. The central bank has a 2 percent target.

United States Prices Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Inflation Rate 2.30 2.10 23.70 -15.80 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.20 0.30 1.80 -1.80 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 258.50 257.94 258.50 23.51 points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 265.92 265.62 265.92 28.50 points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 2.30 2.30 13.60 0.00 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 112.66 112.19 112.66 12.85 points [+]
Producer Prices 118.80 118.70 118.80 100.20 points [+]
Producer Prices Change 1.30 1.10 19.57 -6.86 percent [+]
Export Prices 125.20 125.40 135.30 82.40 points [+]
Import Prices 125.00 124.60 147.50 75.00 points [+]
Food Inflation 1.80 2.00 36.70 -34.30 percent [+]
CPI Housing Utilities 268.24 267.93 268.24 30.50 points [+]
CPI Transportation 208.48 209.76 223.54 22.30 points [+]
Core Pce Price Index 112.40 112.24 112.40 16.73 points [+]
Core Producer Prices 118.10 118.00 118.20 99.90 points [+]
Pce Price Index 110.37 110.20 110.37 16.07 points [+]
Inflation Expectations 2.53 2.35 3.40 2.33 percent [+]