The CBI's monthly order book balance in the UK increased to -22 in January 2020 from -28 in the previous month, slightly above market expectations of -23. There was an improvement in export order book (-21 vs -35 in December) and output expectations (+4 vs -7), while domestic price outlook eased (+2 vs +6) and stocks of finished products increased (+26 vs +24).

Factory Orders in the United Kingdom averaged -18.24 Net Balance from 1977 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 21 Net Balance in May of 1988 and a record low of -79 Net Balance in October of 1980. This page provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom CBI Industrial Trends Orders - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. source: Confederation of British Industry

Factory Orders in the United Kingdom is expected to be -18.00 Net Balance by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Factory Orders in the United Kingdom to stand at -8.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom CBI Industrial Trends Orders is projected to trend around -4.00 Net Balance in 2020, according to our econometric models.


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United Kingdom CBI Industrial Trends Orders

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
-22.00 -28.00 21.00 -79.00 1977 - 2020 Net Balance Monthly
NSA

Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-10-22 10:00 AM Oct -37 -28 -28 -15
2019-11-19 11:00 AM Nov -26 -37 -31 -28
2019-12-17 11:00 AM Dec -28 -26 -12
2020-01-22 11:00 AM Jan -22 -28 -23 -16
2020-02-20 11:00 AM Feb -22 -14


News Stream
2019-12-17
UK Factory Orders Fall at Faster Pace: CBI
The Confederation of British Industry's monthly order book balance declined to -28 in December 2019 from -26 in the previous month. The value remains below the long-run average of -13. Yet, total order books remained weak and both export order books (-35 from -22) and output expectations (-7 from -1) worsened compared to November. Also, domestic price expectations increased (+6 from -1) and stocks went up (24 from 17). “These disappointing figures are reflective of the widespread weakness in the global manufacturing sector and the impact of continued Brexit uncertainty in the run-up to the General Election", Tom Crotty, Group Director, INEOS and Chair of the CBI Manufacturing Council said.

2019-11-19
UK Factory Orders Remain Weak: CBI
The Confederation of British Industry's monthly order book balance rose 11 points to -26 in November 2019, the highest level since August and above market expectations of -31. The improvement from October's nine-year low was mainly supported by the EU extension of Brexit deadline until January 31st, while manufacturers remain under pressure from weak global trade and a subdued domestic economy. Export orders also rebounded from their lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis (-22 vs -41), while stocks rose further above “adequate” levels (17 vs 11). Looking ahead, firms anticipate output volumes and prices to be flat in the next three months.

2019-10-22
UK CBI Factory Orders Gauge Falls to Lowest Since 2010
The Confederation of British Industry's monthly order book balance slumped nine points to -37 in October 2019, the lowest level since March 2010 and below market expectations of -28. The export order book sub-index declined sharply (-41 vs -32), as well as that of stocks of finished goods (+11 vs +28) while the gauge of output expectations in the next three months remained subdued (-16 vs -19). Meanwhile, there was a sharp drop in domestic price expectations (+3 vs +12).

2019-09-24
UK Factory Orders Drop More Than Expected
The Confederation of British Industry's monthly order book balance dropped to -28 in September 2019 from the previous month's -13 and below market expectations of -18. The gauge of output expectations in the next three months fell to its lowest level since April 2009 (-19 vs -1 in August), and the export order book sub-index also declined sharply (-32 vs -15). Meanwhile, there was a sharp increase in domestic price expectations (+12 vs -2) and stocks of finished goods (+28 vs +14).

2019-08-20
UK Factory Orders Fall at Slower Pace
The Confederation of British Industry's monthly order book balance rose to -13 in August 2019 from the previous month's nine-year low of -34 and above market expectations of -23. The downturn in export orders eased (-15 vs -32 in July) while output expectations deteriorated (-1 vs +6). Meanwhile, stocks of finished goods continued to increase (+14 vs +18) while the gauge of expected selling prices fell to its lowest level since February 2016 (-2 vs +12).

2019-07-23
UK Factory Orders at Over 9-Year Low: CBI
The Confederation for British Industry's monthly factory orders balance declined 19 points from a month earlier to -34 in July of 2019, well below market expectations of -15. It is the lowest level since April of 2010, mainly due to a strong fall in export orders (-32 vs -12 in June). Also, domestic price expectations jumped (+12 vs +4) while stock of finished goods increased (+18 vs +12) and the outlook for the next three months improved (+6 vs +3).


United Kingdom CBI Industrial Trends Orders
In the United Kingdom, the Confederation of British Industry‘s Industrial Trends Survey of total order book balance tracks changes in the level of factory orders from around 500 companies across 38 sectors of manufacturing industry. The survey covers domestic and export orders, stocks, price, investment intentions and output expectations. For each variable, manufacturers are asked if present situation is above normal, normal or below normal. The results are presented as a weighted percentage balance, that is, the difference between the percentage of respondents replying more or up to each question minus the percentage replying less or down.

United Kingdom Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 23.00 -44.00 55.00 -75.00 points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 49.80 47.50 61.50 34.40 points [+]
Services PMI 52.90 50.00 62.50 40.10 points [+]
Industrial Production -1.60 -0.60 22.60 -12.00 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom -1.20 0.40 9.70 -7.80 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production -2.00 -0.30 19.60 -16.90 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 81.50 79.00 85.20 38.00 percent [+]
New Orders 10875.00 10922.00 25109.00 9381.00 GBP Million [+]
Factory Orders -22.00 -28.00 21.00 -79.00 Net Balance [+]
Changes in Inventories -8400.00 360.00 11359.00 -9083.00 GBP Million [+]
Bankruptcies 4355.00 4338.00 6924.00 924.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 114104.00 111745.00 115312.00 1024.00 GBP Million [+]
Zew Economic Sentiment Index -39.00 -38.30 61.00 -80.60 [+]
Car Production 107753.00 134752.00 185157.00 43773.00 Units [+]
Car Registrations 148997.00 156621.00 562337.00 33051.00 [+]
Small Business Sentiment -34.00 -24.00 40.00 -69.00 [+]
Internet Speed 16920.86 16337.23 16920.86 3085.89 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 27493519.00 26782989.00 27493519.00 13305856.00 IP [+]
Mining Production -2.50 -6.80 855.60 -90.50 percent [+]
Leading Economic Index 0.10 0.20 2.00 -2.00 percent [+]
Private Investment 0.00 0.10 51.50 -11.40 percent [+]
Steel Production 550.00 621.00 2848.00 131.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Competitiveness Index 81.20 81.99 82.11 5.18 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 9.00 8.00 13.00 2.00 [+]
Composite Pmi 52.40 49.30 61.80 47.60 points [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 10.00 13.00 32.00 3.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 9.00 11.00 5.00 [+]
Electricity Production 28193.00 24869.00 38520.00 16152.00 Gigawatt-hour [+]
Corruption Index 77.00 80.00 87.00 74.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 12.00 11.00 20.00 8.00 [+]