The index for leading economic indicators in Japan, a gauge of the economy a few months ahead that’s compiled using data such as job offers and consumer sentiment, was at 90.8 in November 2019, compared to the preliminary data of 90.9 and after a final 91.6 in the previous period. This was the weakest reading since November 2009, due to persistent Sino-US trade dispute, weak consumer confidence and the recent consumption tax hike. Leading Economic Index in Japan averaged 93.12 points from 1985 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 108 points in April of 2006 and a record low of 72.50 points in February of 2009. source: Cabinet Office, Japan

Leading Economic Index in Japan is expected to be 95.10 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Leading Economic Index in Japan to stand at 101.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Japan Leading Economic Index is projected to trend around 100.00 points in 2020, according to our econometric models.


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Japan Leading Economic Index

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
90.80 91.60 108.00 72.50 1985 - 2019 points Monthly
2015=100, NSA



Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-12-06 05:00 AM Leading Economic Index Prel Oct 91.8 91.9 91.8 89.5
2019-12-23 05:00 AM Leading Economic Index Final Oct 91.6 91.9 91.8 91.8
2020-01-10 05:00 AM Leading Economic Index Prel Nov 90.9 91.6 90.6 91
2020-01-23 05:00 AM Leading Economic Index Final Nov 90.8 91.6 90.9 90.9
2020-02-07 05:00 AM Leading Economic Index Prel Dec 90.8 93.8


News Stream
2020-01-10
Japan Leading Economic Index Hits Decade Low
The index for leading economic indicators in Japan, a gauge of the economy a few months ahead that’s compiled using data such as job offers and consumer sentiment, fell to 90.9 in November 2019 from 91.6 in the previous month and compared to market consensus of 90.6, a preliminary estimate showed. This was the weakest reading since November 2009, due to persistent Sino-US trade dispute, weak consumer confidence and the recent consumption tax hike.

2019-12-23
Japan Leading Index Lowest in a Decade
The index for leading economic indicators in Japan, a gauge of the economy a few months ahead that’s compiled using data such as job offers and consumer sentiment, was at 91.6 in October 2019, compared with the preliminary figure of 91.8 and a final 91.9 in the previous month. This was the weakest reading since November 2009, amid persistent trade dispute between the US and China and weak consumer sentiment.

2019-12-06
Japan Leading Index Falls to Lowest in Nearly 10 Years
The index for leading economic indicators in Japan, a gauge of the economy a few months ahead that’s compiled using data such as job offers and consumer sentiment, edged down to 91.8 in October 2019 from 91.9 in the previous month and compared to market consensus of 92, preliminary data showed. This was the weakest reading since November 2009, amid persistent Sino-US trade dispute, weak consumer confidence and the recent consumption tax hike.

2019-11-25
Japan Leading Index Stays at Near Decade Low
The  index for leading economic indicators in Japan, a gauge of the economy a few months ahead that’s compiled using data such as job offers and consumer sentiment, was at 91.9 in September of 2019, compared to a preliminary reading of 92.2 and a final 91.9 in the previous month. This remained the weakest reading since November 2009, amid ongoing US-China trade dispute and weak consumer confidence.


Japan Leading Economic Index
In Japan, the Leading Composite Index consists of 12 indexes such as account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. The index anticipates changes in the direction of the Japanese economy in the coming months. In general, increase in the index reflects that the economy is in an expansion phase, and decreasing coincident index reflects that the economy is in a contraction phase. The index is used to make official judgements on when the business cycle begins and ends. .

Japan Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 0.00 5.00 53.00 -58.00 points [+]
Services Pmi 49.40 50.30 55.30 46.40 points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 48.40 48.90 56.20 29.60 points [+]
Industrial Production -8.20 -7.70 30.00 -37.20 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom -1.00 -4.50 6.80 -16.50 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production -8.10 -7.70 29.30 -37.20 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 95.50 95.80 136.10 68.60 points [+]
New Orders 1153.53 1013.55 1624.17 693.64 JPY Billion [+]
Machinery Orders 18.00 -6.00 25.50 -17.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 871.20 1934.00 7639.10 -6605.20 JPY Billion [+]
Bankruptcies 704.00 728.00 1965.00 6.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 17323.17 23232.47 26401.12 43.24 JPY Billion [+]
Coincident Index 94.70 95.30 106.90 69.40 [+]
Economy Watchers Survey 39.80 39.40 57.50 18.90 [+]
Car Production 667462.00 714844.00 961994.00 249772.00 Units [+]
Car Registrations 194765.00 205814.00 585449.00 83044.00 [+]
Leading Economic Index 90.80 91.60 108.00 72.50 points [+]
Small Business Sentiment -9.00 -4.00 46.00 -60.00 [+]
Internet Speed 20171.96 19574.52 20171.96 6541.92 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 43689566.00 43995715.00 44977757.00 23570249.00 IP [+]
Private Investment 7.10 1.90 12.80 -25.33 percent [+]
Non Manufacturing Pmi 20.00 21.00 57.00 -41.00 points [+]
Machine Tool Orders 89969.00 81669.00 182860.00 19037.00 JPY Million [+]
Mining Production -9.80 -3.40 16.20 -16.10 percent [+]
Tertiary Industry Index 105.40 104.70 109.70 73.20 points [+]
Reuters Tankan Index -6.00 -6.00 39.00 -78.00 points [+]
Steel Production 7742.91 8157.07 10775.00 1177.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Cement Production 5198.00 5076.00 9368.00 4218.00 Thousands of Tonnes [+]
All Industry Activity Index 103.90 103.00 108.70 94.20 points [+]
Competitiveness Index 82.27 82.47 82.47 5.36 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 6.00 5.00 10.00 5.00 [+]
Composite Pmi 48.60 49.80 54.10 46.30 points [+]
Corruption Index 73.00 73.00 80.00 58.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 18.00 20.00 25.00 14.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 29.00 39.00 39.00 13.00 [+]