Markets Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Currency 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.1 1.1 1.09
Stock Market (points) 20376.03 21562 21247 20936 20632 20034
Government Bond 10Y (%) 2.56 2.67 2.77 2.87 2.97 3.2
Overview Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
GDP Growth Rate (%) 0.20 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 0.10 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8
Unemployment Rate (%) 10.20 9.9 9.7 9.4 9.2 8.8
Inflation Rate (%) 1.10 0.8 0.6 1 1.1 1.2
Inflation Rate Mom (%) 0.20 0.2 -0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Interest Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0.25 0.75
Balance of Trade (EUR Million) 4625.00 1500 400 6000 2180 5400
Current Account (EUR Million) 4040.10 4750 2570 2750 2460 2210
Current Account to GDP (%) 2.50 3 3 3 2.5 2.5
Government Debt to GDP (%) 132.20 133 133 133 133 133
Government Budget (% of GDP) -2.10 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6 -3.6 -3.6
Business Confidence (Index Points) 100.60 98 99 101 102 102
Services PMI (Index Points) 50.40 50.5 51.2 51.5 52 52.9
Manufacturing PMI 49.10 50.7 51.1 51.6 52 52.7
Consumer Confidence (Index Points) 110.50 109 110 111 112 112
Retail Sales MoM (%) -0.30 -0.3 0.6 0.5 -0.2 0.4
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 24.00 24 24 24 24 24
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 43.00 43 43 43 43 43
GDP Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
GDP Growth Rate (%) 0.20 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) 0.10 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8
GDP (USD Billion) 1934.80 2010 2010 2010 2050 2050
GDP Constant Prices (EUR Million) 404077.50 404124 403677 403628 404837 406857
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (EUR Million) 74203.10 75036 74054 74352 74574 74946
GDP per capita (USD) 34877.83 35600 35600 35600 36000 36000
GDP per capita PPP (USD) 35220.08 36000 36000 36000 36400 36400
GDP From Agriculture (EUR Million) 6995.70 7129 7078 7010 7031 7066
GDP From Construction (EUR Million) 16386.60 16365 16465 16419 16469 16551
GDP From Manufacturing (EUR Million) 70222.70 70870 70661 70363 70574 70926
GDP From Services (EUR Million) 271485.00 271934 271589 272028 272842 274204
Labour Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Unemployment Rate (%) 10.20 9.9 9.7 9.4 9.2 8.8
Unemployed Persons (Thousand ) 2641.18 2600 2580 2570 2550 2500
Employment Rate (%) 58.90 59.1 59.2 59.4 59.5 59.6
Labor Force Participation Rate (%) 65.70 65.7 65.8 65.8 65.9 65.9
Long Term Unemployment Rate (%) 5.60 5 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.5
Youth Unemployment Rate (%) 30.20 29.5 28.9 28.4 28 27
Labour Costs (Index Points) 108.70 109 111 111 111 113
Wages (EUR/Month) 2434.00 2475 2478 2478 2480 2525
Wages in Manufacturing (Index Points) 102.10 115 116 116 116 118
Wage Growth (%) 1.50 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9
Population (Million) 60.48 60.21 60.21 60.37 60.26 60.26
Retirement Age Women 67.00 67 67 67 67 67
Retirement Age Men 67.00 67 67 67 67 67
Wages Low Skilled (EUR/Month) 1130.00 1353 1354 1150 1151 1172
Wages High Skilled (EUR/Month) 2340.00 2542 2545 2382 2384 2427
Living Wage Family (EUR/Month) 1440.00 1485 1486 1466 1467 1494
Living Wage Individual (EUR/Month) 935.00 966 967 952 953 970
Employment Change (%) -0.30 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4
Prices Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Inflation Rate (%) 1.10 0.8 0.6 1 1.1 1.2
Inflation Rate Mom (%) 0.20 0.2 -0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Consumer Price Index CPI (Index Points) 103.00 103 103 103 104 105
Core Consumer Prices (Index Points) 102.50 103 103 103 103 104
Core Inflation Rate (%) 0.60 0.7 0.7 1 1.1 1.2
Producer Prices (Index Points) 105.10 105 107 107 107 110
Producer Prices Change (%) 2.90 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.2 2
Food Inflation (%) 0.40 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 2.3
CPI Housing Utilities (Index Points) 104.50 101 103 106 107 108
CPI Transportation (Index Points) 106.20 107 107 105 106 106
Money Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Interest Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0.25 0.75
Interbank Rate (%) -0.31 -0.31 -0.31 -0.31 -0.06 -0.06
Money Supply M2 (EUR Million) 1566114.00 1810000 1830000 1850000 1850000 2010000
Banks Balance Sheet (EUR Million) 3732059.07 4080000 4110000 4150000 4150000 4290000
Loans to Private Sector (EUR Million) 665200.00 795000 815000 858000 858000 901000
Private Debt to GDP (%) 168.90 168 168 168 166 166
Central Bank Balance Sheet (EUR Million) 979628.60 1152000 1201000 1261000 1261000 1341000
Trade Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Balance of Trade (EUR Million) 4625.00 1500 400 6000 2180 5400
Current Account (EUR Million) 4040.10 4750 2570 2750 2460 2210
Current Account to GDP (%) 2.50 3 3 3 2.5 2.5
Imports (EUR Million) 36894.65 37400 38100 34400 40020 37500
Exports (EUR Million) 41520.06 38900 38500 40400 42200 42900
External Debt (EUR Million) 2113580.00 2210000 2230000 2250000 2270000 2320000
Gold Reserves (Tonnes) 2451.80 2452 2452 2452 2452 2452
Tourism Revenues (EUR Million) 2521.66 4500 4700 2400 2700 2500
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K) 87.00 85 85 84 85 84
Foreign Direct Investment (EUR Million) -2117.00 2900 -600 1050 -1120 470
Government Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Government Debt to GDP (%) 132.20 133 133 133 133 133
Government Budget (% of GDP) -2.10 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6 -3.6 -3.6
Government Budget Value (EUR Billion) -26.03 4.6 3.8 -5.8 -10.9 -4.9
Government Spending (EUR Million) 78024.10 78245 78208 78180 78414 78806
Government Spending to GDP (%) 48.60 49 49 49 49.5 49.5
Government Revenues (EUR Billion) 31.44 49.8 38.2 102 40.2 105
Government Debt (EUR Million) 2358799.50 2421000 2439000 2457000 2457000 2514000
Fiscal Expenditure (EUR Billion) 57.47 45.2 34.4 108 51.1 110
Taxes Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 24.00 24 24 24 24 24
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 43.00 43 43 43 43 43
Sales Tax Rate (%) 22.00 22 22 22 25 25
Social Security Rate (%) 39.49 39.49 39.49 39.49 39.49 39.49
Social Security Rate For Companies (%) 30.00 30 30 30 30 30
Social Security Rate For Employees (%) 9.49 9.49 9.49 9.49 9.49 9.49
Business Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Business Confidence (Index Points) 100.60 98 99 101 102 102
Services PMI (Index Points) 50.40 50.5 51.2 51.5 52 52.9
Manufacturing PMI 49.10 50.7 51.1 51.6 52 52.7
Industrial Production (%) -1.40 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7
Industrial Production Mom (%) -0.90 -0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.2
Manufacturing Production (%) -1.30 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.8
Factory Orders (%) 2.20 -1 -2.4 -0.4 1 0.2
Zew Economic Sentiment Index -24.30 -8 -11 -7 -12 -4
Car Registrations 174412.00 199000 177000 125000 215000 129000
Steel Production (Thousand Tonnes) 2277.00 2020 2060 1540 1540 1560
Mining Production (%) 5.70 -2.8 -1.4 0.5 0.7 1
Composite Pmi 49.50 50.5 50.9 51 51.5 52.7
Electricity Production (Gigawatt-hour) 22679.00 24200 24300 25170 25170 24500
Consumer Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Consumer Confidence (Index Points) 110.50 109 110 111 112 112
Retail Sales MoM (%) -0.30 -0.3 0.6 0.5 -0.2 0.4
Retail Sales YoY (%) -3.30 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.5
Consumer Spending (EUR Million) 242630.50 242328 242512 243116 243844 245061
Disposable Personal Income (EUR Million) 295366.00 296598 295994 295957 296843 298324
Personal Savings (%) 7.60 8.5 8.7 8.7 9 9.5
Bank Lending Rate (%) 1.97 1.98 1.98 1.98 2.23 2.23
Consumer Credit (EUR Million) 105010.40 99656 100450 102723 104269 103545
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 1.92 1.81 1.76 1.72 1.68 1.68
Households Debt To GDP (% of GDP) 40.90 36.7 36.7 36.7 34.3 34.3
Households Debt To Income (%) 61.12 55.2 55.2 55.2 53.2 53.2
Housing Actual Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020
Construction Output (%) 8.10 5.1 3.6 1.9 2 1.6
Housing Index (Index Points) 98.20 100 100 101 102 104
Construction Pmi 52.50 49 50.2 50.5 51 52.6
Home Ownership Rate (%) 72.40 71.5 71.5 71.5 71 71


This page has economic forecasts for Italy including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Italy economy.