India's retail price inflation was revised lower to 5.84 percent year-on-year in March 2020, from a preliminary estimate of 5.91 percent. That was the lowest rate since last November, as prices rose at a softer pace for food & beverages and miscellaneous, while inflation was virtually unchanged for clothing & footwear. Meanwhile, cost advanced faster for fuel & light and pan, tobacco & intoxicants. India's government did not release headline retail inflation figures for the month of April as the country has been under lockdown amid efforts to contain the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. The ministry of statistics said data are usually collected from 1,114 urban markets and 1,181 villages through personal visits, which have been suspended since March 19th.

Inflation Rate in India averaged 6.01 percent from 2012 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 12.17 percent in November of 2013 and a record low of 1.54 percent in June of 2017. This page provides - India Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. India Inflation Rate - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on May of 2020. source: Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MOSPI)

Inflation Rate in India is expected to be 4.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Inflation Rate in India to stand at 5.20 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the India Inflation Rate is projected to trend around 4.50 percent in 2021 and 4.10 percent in 2022, according to our econometric models.

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India Inflation Rate

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
5.84 6.58 12.17 1.54 2012 - 2020 percent Monthly
2012=100


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2020-01-13 12:00 PM Dec 7.35% 5.54% 6.2% 6.1%
2020-02-12 12:00 PM Jan 7.59% 7.35% 7.4% 7.5%
2020-03-12 12:00 PM Feb 6.58% 7.59% 6.8% 7.0%
2020-04-13 12:00 PM Mar 5.91% 6.58% 5.93% 5.9%
2020-06-12 12:00 PM May 5.84%
2020-07-13 12:00 PM Jun 5.7%
2020-08-12 12:00 PM Jul
2020-09-11 12:00 PM Aug


News Stream
India March Inflation Rate Revised Lower
India's retail price inflation was revised lower to 5.84 percent year-on-year in March 2020, from a preliminary estimate of 5.91 percent. That was the lowest rate since last November, as prices rose at a softer pace for food & beverages and miscellaneous, while inflation was virtually unchanged for clothing & footwear. Meanwhile, cost advanced faster for fuel & light and pan, tobacco & intoxicants. India's government did not release headline retail inflation figures for the month of April as the country has been under lockdown amid efforts to contain the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. The ministry of statistics said data are usually collected from 1,114 urban markets and 1,181 villages through personal visits, which have been suspended since March 19th.
2020-05-12
India Inflation Rate Eases to 4-Month Low
India's retail price inflation fell to a four-month low of 5.91 percent year-on-year in March 2020 from 6.58 percent in the previous month, and slightly below market expectations of 5.93 percent. Food & beverages prices rose at a softer pace (7.82 percent vs 9.50 percent in February), particularly due to vegetables (18.63 percent vs 31.6 percent), fruits (3.56 percent vs 4.0 percent) and pulses & products (15.85 percent vs 16.6 percent). Meanwhile, price increases accelerated for cereals & products (5.30 percent vs 5.2 percent) and milk & products (6.47 percent vs 6.1 percent). The food alone rate slowed to 8.76 percent from 10.81 percent. Meanwhile, miscellaneous prices went up at a softer pace (4.43 percent vs 4.5 percent), and inflation was virtually unchanged for housing (at 4.23 percent) and clothing and footwear (at 2.11 percent). Cost advanced faster for fuel and light (6.59 percent vs 6.4 percent) and pan, tobacco and intoxicants (4.71 percent vs 4.1 percent).
2020-04-13
India Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
Consumer price inflation in India eased to 6.58% in February of 2020 from 7.59% in the prior month, and slightly below market expectations of 6.8%. The inflation rate fell for the first time in 7 months, as food & beverages prices slowed (9.5% vs 11.8% in January), particularly cereals (5.2% vs 5.3%), vegetables (31.6% vs 50.2%), fruits (4.0% vs 5.8%) and pulses (16.6% vs 16.7%); while milk cost rose faster (6.1% vs 5.6%). The food alone rate slowed to 10.8% from 13.6%. Also, miscellaneous prices went up at a softer pace (4.5% vs 4.8%). Meanwhile, housing inflation was steady (at 4.2%) while cost advanced faster for fuel and light (6.4% vs 3.7%); clothing and footwear (2.1% vs 1.9%) and pan, tobacco and intoxicants (4.1% vs 3.6%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell 0.7%, following a 0.1% drop in the precious month.
2020-03-12
India Inflation Rate Highest in Near 6 Years
Consumer price inflation in India increased to 7.59% in January of 2020 from 7.35% in December, above expectations of 7.4%. The inflation accelerated for the 6th straight month to the highest since May of 2014. Prices rose faster for fuel and light (3.7% vs 0.7% in December), miscellaneous (4.8% vs 4.1%), clothing and footwear (1.9% vs 1.5%) and pan, tobacco and intoxicants (3.6% vs 3.4%) but eased for housing (4.2% vs 4.3%). Cost of food and beverages increased at a slightly slower rate (11.8% vs 12.2%), namely vegetables (50.2% vs 60.5%) while faster increases were seen for cereals (5.3% vs 4.4%), milk (5.6% vs 4.2%), fruits (5.8% vs 4.6%) and pulses (16.7% vs 15.4%). The food alone rate slowed to 13.6% from 14.1%, which was the highest since November of 2013. On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell 0.1% after surging 1.2% in December, the most since July of 2017.
2020-02-12

India Inflation Rate
In 2013, the consumer price index replaced the wholesale price index (WPI) as a main measure of inflation. In India, the most important category in the consumer price index is Food and beverages (45.86 percent of total weight), of which Cereals and products (9.67 percent), Milk and products (6.61 percent), Vegetables (6.04 percent), Prepared meals, snacks, sweets, etc. (5.55 percent), Meat and fish (3.61 percent), and Oils and fats (3.56 percent). Miscellaneous accounts for 28.32 percent, of which Transport and communication (8.59 percent), health (5.89 percent), and education (4.46 percent). Housing accounts for 10.07 percent; Fuel and light for 6.84 percent; Clothing and footwear for 6.53 percent; and Pan, tobacco and intoxicants for 2.38 percent. Consumer price changes in India can be very volatile due to dependence on energy imports, the uncertain impact of monsoon rains on its large farm sector, difficulties transporting food items to market because of its poor roads and infrastructure and high fiscal deficit.