Estonian retail trade increased 3.7 percent year-on-year in November 2019, slowing from a 4.3 percent gain in the prior month. This was the weakest growth in retail trade since June. On a monthly basis, retail trade fell 2 percent, after a 3.5 percent rise in October.

Retail Sales YoY in Estonia averaged 5.16 percent from 1999 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 24.70 percent in February of 2007 and a record low of -21.60 percent in February of 2009. This page provides - Estonia Retail Sales YoY - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Retail Sales YoY in Estonia is expected to be 1.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales YoY in Estonia to stand at 2.70 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Estonia Retail Sales YoY is projected to trend around 3.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


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Estonia Retail Sales YoY

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
3.70 4.30 24.70 -21.60 1999 - 2019 percent Monthly

Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-09-30 05:00 AM Aug 4.0% 4.5% 4.7%
2019-10-31 06:00 AM Sep 4.3% 4.0% 3.1%
2019-11-29 06:00 AM Oct 4.3% 4.3% 4.1%
2020-01-02 06:00 AM Nov 3.7% 4.3% 3.4%
2020-01-30 06:00 AM Dec 3.7% 7.2%


News Stream
2019-09-30
Estonian Retail Sales Growth Slows to 4% in August
Estonian retail trade increased 4.0 percent year-on-year in August 2019, easing from a 4.5 percent gain in the prior month. Sales growth slowed for: other specialised stores (5.2 percent from 7.4 percent in July); pharmaceutical and medical goods, cosmetics (3.8 percent vs 7.2 percent), and automotive fuel (1.6 percent vs 1.8 percent. Meantime, sales growth accelerated for: household goods and appliances, hardware and building materials (5.9 percent vs 4.5 percent); second-hand goods and in stalls, markets, direct sale (6.0 percent vs 2.0 percent), and textiles, clothing and footwear (9.1 percent vs 3.3 percent). On the other hand, sales of food, beverages and tobacco continued to drop (-1.1 percent vs -3.4 percent). On a monthly basis, retail trade fell 1.8 percent, after a 4.6 percent gain in July.

2019-08-30
Estonian Retail Sales Rise the Most in 3 Months
Estonian retail trade increased 4.5 percent year-on-year in July 2019, accelerating from a 2.5 percent gain in the prior month. This was the highest growth in retail trade since April, as sales growth accelerated for: other specialised stores (7.4 percent from 7.0 percent in June); household goods and appliances, hardware and building materials (4.5 percent vs 3.4 percent), and pharmaceutical and medical goods, cosmetics (7.2 percent vs 2.5 percent). In addition, sales rebounded for both automotive fuel (1.8 percent vs -1.8 percent) and second-hand goods and in stalls, markets, direct sale (2.0 percent vs -1.3 percent). Meantime, sales growth slowed for textiles, clothing and footwear (3.3 percent vs 11.8 percent). Conversely, sales of food, beverages and tobacco fell (-3.4 percent vs 12.6 percent). On a monthly basis, retail trade rose 4.6 percent, after a 1.1 percent fall in June.

2019-07-30
Estonia Retail Sales Growth Accelerates to 2.5% in June
Estonian retail trade increased 2.5 percent year-on-year in June 2019, accelerating from an 1.6 percent gain in the prior month. Retail trade growth accelerated for: other specialised stores (7.0 percent from 5.7 percent in May); textiles, clothing and footwear (11.8 percent vs 3.3 percent); household goods and appliances, hardware and building materials (3.4 percent vs 1.3 percent). In addition retail trade dropped softer for both automotive fuel (-1.8 percent vs -3.9 percent) and second-hand goods and in stalls, markets, direct sale (-1.3 percent vs -4.8 percent). Meantime, sales growth slowed for pharmaceutical and medical goods, cosmetics (2.5 percent vs 9.9 percent in May); food, beverages and tobacco (12.6 percent vs 18.5 percent). On a monthly basis, retail trade fell 1.1 percent, after a 4.8 percent rise in May, the first monthly decrease in retail trade since February.

2019-06-28
Estonian May Retail Sales Growth Eases to 5-Month Low
Estonian retail trade rose 1.6 percent year-on-year in May 2019, slowing from an 8.2 percent gain in the prior month. It was the lowest gain in retail sales since December last year, when retail trade fell by 0.3 percent. Retail trade growth slowed: other specialised stores (5.7 percent from 24.4 percent in April); textiles, clothing and footwear (3.3 percent vs 4.2 percent); household goods and appliances, hardware and building materials (1.3 percent vs 9.5 percent). In addition retail trade shrank for both automotive fuel (-3.9 percent vs 2.0 percent) and second-hand goods and in stalls, markets, direct sale (-4.8 percent vs 16.7 percent). Meantime, sales growth accelerated for pharmaceutical and medical goods, cosmetics (9.9 percent vs 5.5 percent in April); food, beverages and tobacco (18.5 percent vs 17.5 percent). On a monthly basis, retail trade increased 4.8 percent, after a 0.4 percent rise in April.

2019-05-30
Estonian Retail Sales Rise the Most Since 2016
Estonian retail trade rose 8.2 percent year-on-year in April 2019, accelerating from a 5.5 percent gain in the prior month. It was the highest gain in retail sales since January of 2016. Sales rose faster for pharmaceutical and medical goods, cosmetics (5.5 percent vs 3.7 percent in March) and in other specialised stores (24.4 percent from 10.8 percent) while those of food, beverages and tobacco (17.5 percent vs -4.0 percent) rebounded sharply. Meantime, sales growth slowed for automotive fuel (2.0 percent vs 7.1 percent); textiles, clothing and footwear (4.2 percent vs 15.4 percent); household goods and appliances, hardware and building materials (9.5 percent vs 12.6 percent) and second-hand goods and in stalls, markets, direct sale (16.7 percent vs 17.2 percent). On a monthly basis, retail trade went up 0.4 percent, after a 13.8 percent jump in March.

2019-04-29
Estonian Retail Trade Growth Accelerates to 5.5% in March
Estonian retail trade rose 5.5 percent year-on-year in March 2019, accelerating from a 5.3 percent gain in the prior month. Sales rose faster for textiles, clothing and footwear (15.4 percent vs 13 percent in February); household goods and appliances, hardware and building materials (12.6 percent vs 9.7 percent); pharmaceutical and medical goods, cosmetics (3.7 percent vs 0.2 percent) and second-hand goods and in stalls, markets, direct sale (17.2 percent vs 6.1 percent). In addition, sales fell less for food, beverages and tobacco (-4.0 percent vs -6.9 percent. On the other hand, sales growth slowed for automotive fuel (7.1 percent vs 8.4 percent). On a monthly basis, retail trade jumped 13.8 percent, after a 5.7 percent fall in February.


Estonia Retail Sales YoY
In Estonia, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Estonia Consumer Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Consumer Confidence -0.60 -2.10 12.80 -38.00 points [+]
Retail Sales MoM -2.00 3.50 20.80 -28.90 percent [+]
Retail Sales YoY 3.70 4.30 24.70 -21.60 percent [+]
Consumer Spending 3048.10 3035.30 3131.50 996.30 EUR Million [+]
Personal Savings 11.58 10.44 21.33 -3.91 percent [+]
Consumer Credit 9335.70 9291.10 9335.70 113.80 EUR Million [+]
Households Debt To Income 69.50 69.65 93.01 15.01 percent [+]
Bank Lending Rate 3.81 3.79 9.97 2.83 percent [+]
Gasoline Prices 1.54 1.53 1.83 0.33 USD/Liter [+]
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 4.50 -0.40 33.00 -72.10 [+]
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 12.10 9.20 26.90 -38.30 [+]
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations 4.80 5.00 17.30 -38.30 [+]
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations -22.20 -23.30 -0.30 -64.30 [+]
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 34.80 31.70 87.80 -28.80 [+]
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations -10.90 -17.40 -4.20 -69.20 [+]
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations 4.80 6.50 81.00 -21.60 [+]