Markets Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
Currency 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
Stock Market (points) 1288.83 1274 1259 1244 1229 1200

Overview Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
GDP Growth Rate (%) -2.24 2.5 1.5 1 1 1.5
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -1.10 -0.9 1.6 2.5 2.4 3
Unemployment Rate (%) 3.90 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.5
Inflation Rate (%) -3.40 -2.5 -0.5 0.8 1.5 1.8
Interest Rate (%) 1.00 1 1 1 1 1
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) 1094.30 700 700 700 700 700
Current Account (BHD Million ) -298.60 -850 -850 -550 -550 -550
Current Account to GDP (%) -5.90 -9 -9 -6.5 -6.5 -6.5
Government Debt to GDP (%) 93.40 110 110 105 105 105
Government Budget (% of GDP) -4.70 -8.2 -8.2 -10 -10 -10
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0

GDP Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
GDP Growth Rate (%) -2.24 2.5 1.5 1 1 1.5
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%) -1.10 -0.9 1.6 2.5 2.4 3
GDP (USD Billion) 38.57 33 33 37 37 37
GDP Constant Prices (BHD Million) 3133.16 3237 3256 3285 3282 3354
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (BHD Million) 3676.09 3660 3735 3768 3764 3847
GDP per capita (USD) 20913.10 20500 20500 21150 21150 21150
GDP per capita PPP (USD) 45025.80 44002 44002 44002 40473 40328
GDP From Agriculture (BHD Million) 9.13 8.85 9.28 9.36 9.35 9.55
GDP From Construction (BHD Million) 235.51 233 242 244 244 249
GDP From Manufacturing (BDT Million) 465.36 478 491 496 495 506
GDP From Mining (BHD Million) 537.74 619 623 628 628 641
GDP From Public Administration (BHD Million) 333.48 358 339 342 341 349
GDP From Services (BHD Million) 1815.41 1861 1855 1872 1870 1911
GDP From Transport (BHD Million) 226.18 264 252 255 254 260
GDP From Utilities (BHD Million) 42.90 36.69 35.78 36.1 36.07 36.86

Labour Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
Unemployment Rate (%) 3.90 4.3 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.5
Population (Million) 1.62 1.73 1.73 1.81 1.81 1.81

Prices Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
Inflation Rate (%) -3.40 -2.5 -0.5 0.8 1.5 1.8
Consumer Price Index CPI (points) 96.40 97.4 98.9 99.29 98.46 101
GDP Deflator (points) 111.70 109 111 113 113 113
Inflation Rate Mom (%) -0.60 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
CPI Housing Utilities (points) 92.90 95.62 95.72 96.77 95.51 97.44
CPI Transportation (points) 103.10 98.22 102 104 105 104
Food Inflation (%) 6.90 3 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.2

Money Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
Interest Rate (%) 1.00 1 1 1 1 1
Interbank Rate (%) 2.30 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25
Money Supply M2 (BHD Million) 12833.00 13138 13459 13780 13780 14744
Loan Growth (%) 5.10 0.5 1.2 1.5 2.2 3
Loans To Private Sector (BHD Million) 5458.70 5147 5221 5408 5590 5377
Central Bank Balance Sheet (BHD Million) 3154.30 3190 3250 3250 3250 3310
Banks Balance Sheet (USD Million) 210186.70 212700 215500 215500 215500 220000
Foreign Exchange Reserves (BHD Million ) 674.90 1350 1400 1210 1210 1450

Trade Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
Balance of Trade (BHD Million) 1094.30 700 700 700 700 700
Current Account (BHD Million ) -298.60 -850 -850 -550 -550 -550
Current Account to GDP (%) -5.90 -9 -9 -6.5 -6.5 -6.5
Imports (BHD Million) 10170.00 6500 6500 6500 6500 6800
Exports (BHD Million) 11265.00 7200 7200 7200 7200 7500
Capital Flows (BHD Million ) 491.70 -330 -330 -330 -330 -330
Foreign Direct Investment (BHD Million) 354.10 9700 9700 9700 9700 11000

Government Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
Government Debt to GDP (%) 93.40 110 110 105 105 105
Government Budget (% of GDP) -4.70 -8.2 -8.2 -10 -10 -10
Government Spending (BHD Million) 2101.10 2092 2135 2154 2152 2199
Government Debt (BHD Million) 12045.40 13000 13500 13500 13500 14500
Military Expenditure (USD Million) 1357.00 1290 1290 1290 1290 1290
Government Budget Value (BHD Million) -1315.60 -1640 -1640 -1640 -1640 -1640
Government Revenues (BHD Million) 2371.60 2350 2350 2350 2350 2350
Fiscal Expenditure (BHD Million) 3687.20 3990 3990 3990 3990 3990

Taxes Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
Corporate Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Personal Income Tax Rate (%) 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Social Security Rate (%) 19.00 19 19 19 19 19
Social Security Rate For Companies (%) 12.00 12 12 12 12 12
Social Security Rate For Employees (%) 7.00 7 7 7 7 7

Business Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
Changes in Inventories (BHD Million) 533.99 450 450 450 450 450
Car Registrations (Hundreds) 429.00 508 508 508 508 508

Consumer Actual Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2021
Consumer Spending (BHD Million) 4766.30 4745 4843 4885 4881 4988
Consumer Credit (BHD Million) 4458.40 4323 4365 4518 4565 4496
Bank Lending Rate (%) 4.91 4.91 4.91 4.91 4.91 4.91
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter) 0.37 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.3 0.29


This page has economic forecasts for Bahrain including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Bahrain economy.