Afghanistan - Economic Forecasts - 2018-2020 Outlook

This page has economic forecasts for Afghanistan including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Afghanistan economy.


Overview Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 8.80 8.9 8.5 8.9 8.9 10 percent
Inflation Rate -1.10 5.5 5.8 5.4 5 5.3 percent
Balance of Trade -5937.70 -6277 -7234 -6177 -6072 -8274 USD Million
Government Debt to GDP 7.60 9.1 9.1 12 12 15 percent
MARKETS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Currency 73.01
 73.81 74.39 74.96 75.54 77.89
GDP Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
GDP Annual Growth Rate 3.60
percent		 3.3 3.3 3 3 3.2
GDP 20.82
USD Billion		 21 21 22 22 23
GDP per capita 618.30
USD		 620 620 634 634 642
GDP per capita PPP 1804.00
USD		 1810 1810 1817 1817 1841
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 236172.80
AFN Million		 238569 234289 233268 232246 191362
Gdp From Agriculture 114632.00
AFN Million		 104768 101756 105953 110149 107388
Gdp From Construction 64902.70
AFN Million		 66488 64660 64156 63652 61458
Gdp From Manufacturing 51468.60
AFN Million		 50086 49804 49480 49156 43945
Gdp From Mining 3703.50
AFN Million		 3475 3597 3538 3479 2765
Gdp From Services 265736.00
AFN Million		 266256 268792 269448 270105 276478
Gdp From Transport 136478.40
AFN Million		 139053 139967 140920 141874 153538
Gdp From Utilities 231.00
AFN Million		 240 241 241 240 250
LABOUR Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Unemployment Rate 8.80
percent		 8.9 8.5 8.9 8.9 10
Population 29.70
Million		 30.24 30.52 30.72 30.92 32.95
PRICES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Inflation Rate -1.10
percent		 5.5 5.8 5.4 5 5.3
Core Inflation Rate 1.50
percent		 1.78 1.74 1.75 1.75 1.75
Inflation Rate Mom -0.10
percent		 0.01 0.3 0 0 0.3
Gdp Deflator 263.80
Index Points		 275 278 281 284 324
Food Inflation -3.60
percent		 5 5.2 6 5 -4.56
Cpi Housing Utilities 108.30
Index Points		 108 109 108 108 108
Cpi Transportation 109.00
Index Points		 108 107 107 107 107
Consumer Price Index Cpi 110.80
Index Points		 117 119 118 116 131
TRADE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Balance of Trade -5937.70
USD Million		 -6277 -7234 -6177 -6072 -8274
Exports 596.46
USD Million		 556 686 550 545 786
Imports 6534.14
USD Million		 6833 7920 6727 6616 9060
Current Account -595.20
USD Million		 -527 -503 -527 -510 -516
Current Account to GDP -20.00
percent		 -15 -15 -12 -12 -9
Gold Reserves 21.90
Tonnes		 21.9 21.9 21.9 21.9 21.9
Terrorism Index 9.44
 9.49 9.48 9.5 9.51 9.6
GOVERNMENT Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Government Debt to GDP 7.60
percent		 9.1 9.1 12 12 15
Government Budget -0.70
percent of GDP		 -0.45 -0.51 -0.49 -0.47 -3
Military Expenditure 180.85
USD Million		 190 188 184 181 178
Government Spending 164514.90
AFN Million		 167300 169374 171038 172702 191955
Government Spending To Gdp 12.00
percent		 11.76 11.74 11.7 11.66 11.29
Government Budget Value -9850.60
AFN Million		 -59191 -78790 -88068 -97346 -143097
BUSINESS Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Internet Speed 1901.54
KBps		 1962 1964 1963 1964 1964
IP Addresses 14505.00
IP		 14126 14110 14086 14100 14080
Mining Production 3697.10
percent		 3409 3761 3861 3960 2770
Ease of Doing Business 183.00
 182 181 180 180 181
Electricity Production 1076.30
Gigawatt-hour		 1105 1109 1093 1078 957
Corruption Index 15.00
Points		 14 14 14 14 14
Corruption Rank 177.00
 180 183 183 183 174
Cement Production 186.30
Thousands of Tonnes		 195 210 202 194 165
Changes In Inventories 413412.60
AFN Million		 443904 450697 446843 442988 481823
CONSUMER Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Consumer Spending 1121093.20
AFN Million		 1182856 1198592 1212096 1225601 1449798
TAXES Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 20.00
percent		 20 20 20 20 20
Personal Income Tax Rate 20.00
percent		 20 20 20 20 20
Sales Tax Rate 10.00
percent		 10 10 10 10 10
CLIMATE Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Precipitation 19.04
mm		 6.48 19.46 53.54 26.63 27
Temperature 2.88
celsius		 24.21 8.06 3.96 24.32 14.38